Espreso. Global
OPINION

West voices scenarios for end of war

19 November, 2023 Sunday
19:50

It's no coincidence that influential Western politicians have recently discussed different ways to conclude at least this phase of the Russian-Ukrainian war

client/title.list_title

The first option is an extended war with no clear endpoint. German Chancellor Scholz and NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg both mentioned this possibility on the same day. According to these leaders, preparation is crucial for such a prolonged conflict.

However, the specifics of this preparation are not always clarified in the West. In my view, an endless and undefined marathon like this poses serious risks. It wears down Ukraine without a clear understanding of victory terms and strategy, as well as assurances of timely Western support. Even the USA, our most capable ally, faces its own internal political challenges in providing consistent aid. Meanwhile, Russia is demonstrating a willingness to invest both money and manpower for a prolonged war.

Former NATO Secretary General Rasmussen proposed a second scenario for ending the war, suggesting Ukraine join the Alliance without guarantees for the occupied territories.

It's essential to note that Rasmussen isn't advocating for giving part of Ukraine to Russia to freeze the conflict. Instead, he highlights that guarantees for a part of Ukrainian territory would prevent Russia from escalating attacks within NATO and free Ukrainian forces from being sent to the front.

However, this approach requires extensive international negotiations, Russia's willingness, and, crucially, Ukraine's readiness to consider various war-ending scenarios.

Is Ukrainian society prepared to discuss different outcomes of the war? What scenarios are we willing to accept, and are each of us personally ready? These questions are pertinent and timely for all of us.

Source

About the author. Serhii Taran, political scientist

The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by the blog authors.
 

Tags:
Read also:
  • News
2024, Saturday
20 July
19:51
Russia attacks Ivashky village in Kharkiv region with FPV drone, killing civilians
19:28
Review
Skyguard system: advanced defense against airborne threats
19:05
Russian troops attack Dnipropetrovsk region, killing 44-year-old man
18:46
US imposes sanctions against Russian hackers
18:25
85 clashes occur at front, Russian troops keep attacking in Pokrovsk sector - Ukraine's General Staff
18:03
American reporter Evan Gershkovich sentenced to 16 years in prison in Russia
17:42
Majority of Georgians consider Russia to be main enemy - poll
17:21
Germany's Pistorius to push for higher defense budget amid Russian threat
17:00
Exclusive
Negotiations will only lead to truce, not peace - analyst Harmash
16:39
Exclusive
Orban, Trump, and his new Vice President Vance work on Ukraine's surrender plan - Piontkovsky
16:20
Russia prepares port in occupied Mariupol to transport stolen Ukrainian grain
15:51
Updated
Fires break out at Russia's Milerovo military airfield after Ukrainian drone attack
15:42
Exclusive
Putin rushes, throws all possible resources at war: diplomat Bryza explains why
15:23
Russian forces attack Donetsk region's settlements 26 times over last day
15:04
Ukrainian guerrillas reconnoiter automobile battalions in Russia's Rostov region
14:46
OPINION
Farion's murder: Ukraine's unity is best revenge
14:25
Review
New camouflage invention for Ukrainian army, Odesa's air defense, fighting in Zaporizhzhia sector. Weekly military results by Zgurets
14:03
Russian troops take tactical pause: UK intelligence assesses frontline situation
13:44
Volodymyr Zelenskyy has telephone conversation with Donald Trump
13:25
OPINION
Trump is ready to buy peace
13:06
Exclusive
Farion's murder is beneficial for Russian special services - Ukraine's former chief military prosecutor
12:46
Exclusive
Ukraine's mobilization needs quality, not just quantity - Colonel Kostenko
12:27
'No food is being sold in Ukraine due to power outages': foreign manipulations for July 19
11:50
135 clashes occur at front over past day, Russian troops most active in Pokrovsk sector - Ukraine's General Staff
11:31
Ukraine can survive without US support, says Blinken
11:13
Updated
Ukraine’s former MP Iryna Farion dies in hospital after armed attack
10:54
Russia loses 990 soldiers, 7 tanks, aircraft in one day of war in Ukraine
10:35
Updated
Russian missile strikes Mykolaiv residential area, killing 4, including child
2024, Friday
19 July
21:25
Exclusive
Ex-intelligence officer Chervinsky: "Institution of our state is totally destroyed"
20:50
Review
Victorious news of 877th day of war: Ukrainian forces down Russian Su-25 in Donetsk region, Russian helicopter with FSB officers on board goes missing
20:20
Exclusive
Three wards of Kyiv children's hospital resume work after Russian missile strike
19:05
76 clashes occur at front, Russian army most active in Pokrovsk, Lyman sectors - Ukraine's General Staff
18:40
Ukraine's first 3D-printed house built for family of fallen soldier
18:16
OPINION
God helps those who take action to help themselves
17:50
Zelenskyy after meeting with Tusk: Poland greenlights F-16 jets for Ukraine
17:23
Ukraine signs £2 billion loan agreement with UK
16:55
Exclusive
Russian army is approaching key Pokrovsk-Kostiantynivka-Chasiv Yar highway - military expert
16:32
Zelenskyy discusses frontline and long-range weapon needs with Starmer
16:14
Ukrainian anti-aircraft gunners down Russian Su-25 in Donetsk region
15:53
Landmark event: Ukraine's Navy reports on downing of Iskander over Odesa region
More news