Espreso. Global

Battle for Crimea may become key one in history

10 May, 2023 Wednesday
01:20

Russia may lose its dominant position in the Black Sea if Ukraine manages to recapture Crimea

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Polish outlet Forsal reported the information.

The outlet believes that the southern direction has a priority status for the Ukrainian military and political leadership.

"We will probably soon understand how the Ukrainian command solved its main strategic dilemma - where to strike the main blow? In Crimea or, rather, in Donbas? The balance of long-term factors indicates the priority of the southern direction. Because the recapture of the Crimean peninsula (necessarily together with Sevastopol) would radically change the geostrategic puzzle, depriving Russia of its dominant position in the Black Sea, leaving it with only a patchwork of poorly equipped coastline off the northeastern shores of the basin, with an already cramped base in Novorossiysk, which has transferred the lion's share of the Black Sea Fleet ships from the threatened Crimea," the outlet noted.

The analysts added that the recapture of Crimea would mean the collapse of Russia's entire policy of moving south.

"This would nullify Russia's chances of a military threat to Odesa or Transnistria, complicate its real influence on the situation in the Caucasus, weaken the possibility of military and economic pressure on Turkey, and make it impossible to attempt manipulation and sabotage in the Balkan countries. Symbolically, which is also important, it would mean the collapse of the entire Russian policy of moving south, launched by Peter the Great near Poltava and subsequently successfully continued by Catherine the Great," the outlet believes.

  • On May 5, an urgent evacuation was ordered from the frontline areas of the Zaporizhzhia region to Berdiansk, including children.

  • On May 6, Mayor of Melitopol Ivan Fedorov said that long queues had formed at the entrance to Crimea, which were connected with the evacuation announced by Russia in the Zaporizhzhia region.

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