Only Russia's defeat will satisfy allies
Ben Hodges, the former commander of US forces in Europe, says that Ukraine will have to change its approach to mobilization
"They're going to have to improve the conscription system to bring the [Ukrainian Armed Forces] to the maximum possible size. Right now, they have too many men and women of conscription age wandering around(!) in Ukraine. And they should be in the army. And thousands more Ukrainians, men of military age, have settled here, in Germany, Poland, Romania... During the war, it is quite possible to increase production. Even when a barrage of Russian missiles is falling on your cities. Just think about what Germany did in 1944. Aircraft production for the Luftwaffe peaked in 1944. And this was after more than two years of continuous bombing of German cities by the British and US air forces."
And General Hodges is not the first to speak about Ukraine's duty to mobilize men, women, and most importantly, healthy people of conscription age that fled to Europe. This is becoming a trend.
There is a possibility that in 2024, when money and weapons are allocated to us, the allies will set conditions like this. It would be logical: when you invest a lot of your own money, you allocate it for a specific resource that you can count on. And for real prospects that can be achieved with this resource.
Let's say that if Ukraine is torn apart by the enemy because there are not enough fighters, all the money, weapons, and equipment invested will be pure irrecoverable losses. And the allies will only be satisfied with Russia's defeat in one format or another. That is what they are ready to invest in.
Therefore, the requirements for Ukraine may indeed become much tougher.
It's cynical, but we have to face the truth.
About the author. Oleksiy Holobutskyi, political scientist.
The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by the blog authors.