Ukraine's Kursk region operation is strategically promising. Here’s why
I decided to gather for you all the possible explanations voiced by various analysts as to why the Armed Forces of Ukraine are infiltrating the Kursk region
No matter which version is correct, each justifies this operation.
1. Kursk NPP: An attempt to seize the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant and exchange it for the Zaporizhzhia NPP would be a powerful move. Returning the ZNPP to our network would solve our energy problems since it provided 30% of our electricity before the war. This is the best version for us, but success is unlikely.
2. Diversion of reserves from the Kharkiv region: The Kursk region is defended by the Russian "North" group, which also conducts operations in Vovchansk. Diverting their reserves would allow us to drive the Russians out of the Kharkiv region's populated areas they captured. This is a good version with a decent chance of success.
3. Preemptive strike: The Armed Forces might have launched a preemptive strike to avoid a repeat of the situation in the Kharkiv region. I don't really believe this version, but if true, it deserves applause.
4. Campaign aimed at the West, which has begun to despair of Ukraine's chances: Unlikely, but if so, it's also a good version. Indeed, we haven't conducted offensive operations for a long time.
5. Actions aimed at creating information noise in the Russian Federation: This version is unlikely. Usually, the Russian Volunteer Corps is used for this. The complete silence surrounding the operation suggests it's not a news story.
Unfortunately, we need to understand that the enemy is strong, and succeeding in such a situation is very, very difficult. So, don't overestimate your expectations or those of others. But as you can see from these versions, starting this operation was correct, regardless of which version is the main one.
About the author. Viktor Andrusiv, a political and public figure, analyst, and publicist
The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by the blog authors.
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