Real Prigozhins will come, but later

He had been running his campaign for not a month or two (!). All of this did not happen unexpectedly, but was a predictable result of Prigozhin's long, consistent public activity.

“In my opinion, this is a large-scale game sanctioned (including by Putin) and aimed at domestic and foreign audiences.”

For the Russian audience, the tasks are the following:

1. Increased need for Putin. The threat of an internal conflict is being promoted through Prigozhin. It becomes scary, the people need protection. Public hope for Putin is naturally growing.

2. Testing the protest potential of Russian society and identifying unstable elements and real centers of resistance. The whole system is being tested for strength and capacity. It's a kind of good exercise close to real life. Think of the tsarist security agent, Father Gapon, if we are looking for analogies to the early twentieth century.

For the Ukrainians and other enemies, this is the task of this game:

1. Creating an emotional swing, when Prigozhin can be used to constantly frighten and calm, controlling the amplitude of these oscillations.

2. Forming the impression that there are different Russians - bad and good. And that even the bad ones can become good.

3. Pretending that large-scale uncontrolled processes are taking place in Russia. So relax, don't push, everything will be fine. You just have to wait. This works very well together with another PSYOP aimed at disrupting mobilization in Ukraine.

“There will be real Prigozhins, but later. When Russia really starts to collapse and chaos begins.”

Another thing. The planned removal of Putin by agreement may also happen. Very soon. But only in order to save this criminal state.

What can drive Putin, who has authorized this game or is a conscious participant in it? The answer is fear. Fear of a real rebellion.

Can we say anything for sure? No! Because for this we need intelligence. So far, we have only what is on the surface.

The war is still ongoing. The enemy still has resources. Russia will definitely be defeated and must collapse.

Source

About the author: Mykhailo Basarab, political scientist.

The editors don't always share the opinions expressed by the authors of the blogs.