Ongoing battles are preparatory to final stage

1. I have repeatedly written that the counteroffensive consists of various stages that have been going on for a long time. Now a new important stage is taking place: an attempt to find a weakness, to win a strategic position. The last stage of the counteroffensive is the deployment of a large number of troops, breakthrough or encirclement of the enemy, and consolidation of the de-occupied territories. This stage has not yet come, but we can say that the battles that are going on now are preparatory to the final stage.

2. The situation is complicated. We knew the Russian forces had a strong defense. It is impossible to break through it without losses, and we are suffering them. Now I can say that the situation has more or less leveled off and the Russian losses have begun to catch up with ours. To break through the defense, we need to press for some time, when the enemy loses enough ammunition and manpower to start retreating.

“We knew the Russian forces had a strong defense. It is impossible to break through it without losses, and we are suffering them. Now I can say that the situation has more or less leveled off and the Russian losses have begun to catch up with ours. To break through the defense, we need to press for some time, when the enemy loses enough ammunition and manpower to start retreating.”

3. In fact, this is nothing new. We had a similar situation in August-September, when we tried to break through to Kherson. Unfortunately, we also suffered losses then. First of all, because of minefields. You know what happened next. The situation is very similar now. After the first most difficult defense lines, especially minefields, are broken through, the offensive will be in full swing.

4. The most difficult thing now is psychological operations. Both we and the enemy are conducting powerful information operations. Therefore, the only thing I can advise you now is to filter all information and believe in the Armed Forces. Unfortunately, I have written before and I am writing now: there is no silence in war. If we are silent, the enemy speaks. And the Russians have started to speak very loudly in recent days. And they tell lies, manipulate, and use our fears. The situation is different. But as of now, the situation is not good in anyone's favor. Everything is changing every hour.

“I can only advise you to be patient. We have done this many times, and it is always the right decision. Don't trust any 'catastrophic' information, and don't trust 'hurrah-victory' information either.”

5. I can only advise you to be patient. We have done this many times, and it is always the right decision. Don't trust any 'catastrophic' information, and don't trust 'hurrah-victory' information either. In my forecast, everything will become more or less clear by the end of the week.

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About the author. Victor Andrusiv, political and public figure, analyst and publicist.

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