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Russian counteroffensive in Kursk: not the success claimed, expert says

12 September, 2024 Thursday
13:59

Dmytro Sniehyriov, military expert and co-head of the "Prava Sprava" organization, highlighted that Russia has formed tactical groups in both Bryansk and Belgorod regions, each comprising 20,000 to 30,000 personnel

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He revealed this on Espreso TV.

"Didn’t the timing of the so-called Russian counteroffensive in the Kursk region seem odd? It coincides with the visit of high-ranking U.S. and UK officials to Ukraine. The message is clear, 'Look, we're attacking, the situation here is in our favor.' And then, some of our clueless idiots started pushing Russian narratives, calling this a ‘successful counteroffensive.’ Let’s break it down. Wasn’t it odd that the offensive happened in Korenevo district, the far western edge of the Ukrainian Defense Forces' zone?" Sniehyriov asked.

He added that Russian troops are targeting the exact area where Ukrainian forces would have planned to push into the Glushkovo district, aiming to cut it off from the rest of Russia. This would expand Ukrainian control by 700 square kilometers, trapping 2,000-3,000 Russian troops in an operational encirclement.

"So, Russia’s entire counteroffensive has a local aim — blocking us from reaching the Glushkovo highway and unblocking units that are already at risk of being surrounded. Where’s the so-called large-scale counteroffensive? They’re deploying specific Russian army units — 155th Marine Brigade, 51st Regiment, 56th Assault Division — here. With such limited numbers, there’s no way this is a massive counteroffensive," the expert stated.

Sniehyriov went on to say that, according to Russian reports, Ukrainian forces have made operational gains elsewhere in the Kursk region. There’s talk of breakthroughs near Pavlovka, where Ukrainian motorized infantry is advancing to expand its presence in the region. Additionally, there are offensives on Vesyoloye and Medvezhye, targeting the Glushkovo railway station.

"In the past month, we’ve destroyed 10 fixed and pontoon bridges across the Seim River, leaving just one operational, and it’s beyond Ukrainian reach. This highlights the issue of permission to strike — it could have been taken out. The Russians acknowledge Ukrainian offensives in the Sudzha district. Crucially, Russia is moving reserves not just to the Bryansk region. They fear a Ukrainian push in this area. Both HUR (Ukraine's intelligence agency - ed.) and our Western allies have confirmed the transfer of reserves. Russia has built tactical groupings in Bryansk and Belgorod of 20,000 to 30,000 troops each. Overall, 60,000 Russian operational reserves are tied up in Kursk, unable to redeploy to areas like Pokrovsk or Vuhledar," he concluded.

  • On September 11, DeepState reported a worsening situation on the left flank of the Ukrainian forces in Kursk, as Russian troops launched active assaults.
  • On September 12, the Institute for the Study of War noted that Russian forces had begun storming Ukrainian positions in the region, seizing several settlements.
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