Moscow uses missile ‘trump card’ in politics
These days, the probability of attacks on Odesa is minimal
The African Summit is underway in Russia, and the key issue there is the grain deal. Afterwards, unfortunately, the shelling is likely to continue.
So far, unfortunately, we have to state the following:
Turkey is in no hurry to put pressure on Russia on this issue. The main reason is that it is important for the Turks that the Americans promise them something in exchange for "interfering" in this story.
The United States is also pausing for now. The reason for this pause is that the Americans have nothing much to offer the Turks, and there is also a difficult situation with the non-compliance with sanctions by Central Asian countries (in Central Asia itself, the United States is perhaps the weakest in the last 30 years.
China is also waiting. Among other things, do not forget that if anyone wants to quickly restore our ports, it will be China.
Unfortunately, this "pause" may last for another month or so (the critical point is the end of the middle of the year, when the issue of fertilizers, where Russia and Belarus hold up to 40% of the world market, will need to be resolved).
About the author: Vadym Denysenko, political scientist.
The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by the authors of the blogs.