British intelligence assesses Russia's ability to conduct successful offensive in February
Russians will not be able to achieve significant success in the offensive in Donetsk region in the coming weeks due to lack of ammunition and qualified units
This was reported by the British Ministry of Defenсe on Twitter.
British intelligence writes in its daily report that it is likely that Russia has been attempting to restart major offensive operations in Ukraine since early January 2023. Its operational goal is almost certainly to capture the remaining Ukrainian-held parts of Donetsk Oblast.
At the same time, British analysts point out that Russian forces have only managed to gain several hundred meters of territory per week. This is almost certainly because Russia now lacks the munition for successful offensives. Senior commanders likely make plans requiring undermanned, inexperienced units to achieve unrealistic objectives due to political and professional pressure.
"Russian leaders will likely continue to demand sweeping advances. It remains unlikely that Russia can build up the forces needed to substantially affect the outcome of the war within the coming weeks," Britain's defence intelligence concluded.
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On February 2, Ukraine’s Intelligence announced that Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the capture of the entire territory of Donetsk and Luhansk regions by March.
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