Putin starts new gas war

Gazprom has moved to a new stage of blackmail.

Have you forgotten that Gazprom started a gas war with Ukraine during the cold weather? Then start remembering. Because Gazprom has again taken up its favorite business. And again, it's not about the economy. And about what?

A new stage of Putin's insidious blackmail. Now he is threatening to stop gas transit through the territory of Ukraine. And for this, he started whining that Ukraine steals gas.

What's next? Next, Putin thinks that Ukraine will finally be afraid to freeze, that everyone in Europe will have a heart attack, and everyone will agree to his plan to freeze the war until better times. Because this whining is a logical starting point for stopping transit under the pretext of theft. And Putin thinks that now he will definitely scare the Ukrainians and break the Europeans, who are about to freeze but are still holding on, due to the flimsy transit through Ukraine.

“Putin thinks that Ukraine will finally be afraid to freeze, that everyone in Europe will have a heart attack, and everyone will agree to his plan to freeze the war until better times. Because this whining is a logical starting point for stopping transit under the pretext of theft.”

Why does he think so? Because for Ukraine, gas transit is a plus for the functioning of the gas transportation system and it allows more efficient delivery of gas to the consumer. Putin waited for the frost and decided to pull out this new map. In addition to the shelling of energy infrastructure. Which requires more gas use. It will also complicate the import of gas because it will require the physical flow of blue fuel.

Plus, the stoppage of transit should affect gas prices in Europe. Which recently disobeyed Putin and refused to grow. And here is a new batch of problems - a new potential for price growth. And Putin hopes that it will happen, even with warm weather in Europe and the filling up of storage. That will make gas imports more expensive for Ukraine. And Europeans have more significant problems. And then they will definitely go to the tariff arenas. And they will bring Putin's friends to power. Who run around the world and offer peace agreements "for Putin", but so far no one accepts them and everyone sends them.

“Ukraine and Moldova jointly opposed Gazprom's blackmail. Recently, a virtual reverse system was activated on the Moldova-Ukraine border, when physical volumes may differ from commercial volumes due to the offset of oncoming flows. As has already been done on the EU-Ukraine border for a long time.”

In addition, Ukraine and Moldova jointly opposed Gazprom's blackmail. Recently, a virtual reverse has been activated on the Moldova-Ukraine border, when physical volumes may differ from commercial ones due to the offset of oncoming flows. As has long been done on the EU-Ukraine border. And the further, the less effective the pressure on Moldova will be. And Putin needs to be pressured because there is disrespect, reforms, and a pro-European government.

“Putin wants to worsen the situation in the Ukrainian energy industry even without missiles. Quite expected, by the way”

In short, everything came together. And, of course, the main blow will be on Ukraine. As always.

Thus, Putin wants to worsen the situation in Ukrainian energy without missiles. Quite expected, by the way. Because in Ukraine they have long been surprised that at least some kind of transit is going on now. It is logical that Putin kept it in order to stop it at a critical moment. And in the fall, he launched strikes on Ukrainian energy. And now there is a threat to stop the transit. Because it got cold.

Can he make things worse? Yes, he can. Will it help him persuade Ukraine to capitulate? No, it won't help. Will it destroy our gas transportation system? No, it will not destroy. It will simply make the life of gas workers less comfortable. But not yet to the level of electricians.

The winter will be long, dark and uncomfortable. But spring will come.

About the author. Serhii Fursa, investment expert, blogger.

The edition team does not always share the opinions expressed by the authors of the blogs.