Espreso. Global
Review

We can expect the agony of the Russian offensive. Military expert Serhiy Zgurets

5 April, 2023 Wednesday
13:32

As long as the logistics of supplying the Ukrainian defenders of Bakhmut are maintained, combat operations in the city will continue with the main goal of destroying Russian manpower and equipment

client/title.list_title

Bakhmut and Avdiivka directions

The Russian enemy is deploying all its reserves in the Bakhmut and Avdiivka directions to ensure the advance of its ground forces. The aggressor's top wish is to make at least some progress in these areas. They will throw what is left to Bakhmut and Avdiivka, but its offensive potential is limited to these two frontline areas.

Ukraine's General Staff reported that 47 offensive assaults were carried out by the Russian enemy over the day, 20 of which were in the Bakhmut direction. Previously, Russian troops were attacking with an intensity of at least 100 offensives per day. We realize how much the capabilities of the Russian Federation are being reduced.

In the near future, we will expect the agony of the Russian offensive and see how the Ukrainian army counteracts these offensives. As long as the logistics of supplying Bakhmut are maintained, the fighting in the city will continue with the main goal of destroying enemy manpower and equipment.

Preparations for the Ukrainian army offensive are underway

The conversations between the Ukrainian Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Valerii Zaluzhnyi and the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Mark Milley, are extremely important. This is because preparatory work for the Armed Forces offensive is underway. The needs of the Ukrainian army, as voiced by Zaluzhnyi in his conversation with General Milley, are focused on the weapons necessary for the offensive: armored vehicles and air defense. These components are extremely important to prepare for an offensive. At the moment, the pace of military equipment supply does not satisfy us.

On April 4, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said at a press conference following the first day of the summit in Brussels that there is a need for ammunition and artillery to ensure Ukraine's advantage on the battlefield. The United States and NATO countries will work together to achieve this. This is an important period, and the pace of aid will affect the time and Ukraine's readiness to launch a large-scale offensive by the Ukrainian Armed Forces in one direction or several. This discussion is actively ongoing at the level of NATO headquarters and in the format of conversations between General Zaluzhnyi and General Milley. These are extremely important emphases that are placed during the preparatory process of offensive actions.

The issue of Ukrainian offensive is now being discussed quite actively in the American and European political environment, and sometimes even excessively. Let's recall the words of the Ukraine's Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba that excessive attention to the successful conduct of a counteroffensive creates a paradigm of excessive expectations. And war can be different, so there can be different risks and challenges that may arise in the course of the offensive.

Optimistic experts in the West or the United States believe that a single offensive can achieve victory. This will not be the case. In addition to the offensive, there will be a series of other military actions aimed at pushing the enemy back to the 1991 borders. One offensive will not solve this operation. We need to prepare, and Ukraine's diplomacy needs to work, so that Europeans and Americans do not think too much that one offensive, with the cutting of Russian troops to the shores of the Sea of Azov, will defeat the enemy. This will be only one element of the offensive that the Ukrainian army is preparing today. These actions require significant systematic work, which is already underway. This includes training of Ukrainain military in the Alliance countries, obtaining military equipment and ammunition, as well as a planning process that should clearly define when to launch offensive actions, in which place or places. And all this is happening against the backdrop of the Armed Forces simultaneously holding the Russian enemy at bay on many fronts and creating the preconditions for offensive actions.

Finland's accession to NATO

Now Russia will be actively rattling its weapons, because this is the only argument for influencing Europe that Russia has today. As for the aggressor's attempts to take some action on land, there is an interesting analysis of Finnish intelligence on Russian military potential. They noted that Russia, after the losses it suffered in Ukraine, will be able to restore its potential only after 2030. In fact, Finland realizes that it has time to effectively integrate into the Alliance's security structures. However, we know that today Finland is a self-sufficient country with a powerful army, and it was preparing to fight Russia alone before it joined NATO. Finland has also implemented the concept of total defense, which Ukraine should adopt in the future. But most importantly, Ukraine, like Finland, should become members of the North Atlantic Alliance.



 
Tags:
Read also:
  • News
2024, Sunday
10 November
21:42
Exclusive
Ukraine's new record: 700 people simultaneously get tactical medicine training in Kyiv
20:06
Russia amasses 50,000 troops to regain Kursk territory - media
19:33
108 combat clashes take place at front on November 10: Russia is most active in Kurakhove, Pokrovsk, Vremivkа sectors
19:03
Exclusive
Political scientist says when we can expect initial results of negotiations with Russia
18:23
Ukrainian government allows civilians to shoot occupying Russian forces with declared weapons
18:02
OPINION
Putin will listen to Trump
17:24
Russia fires 800+ UAVs, 600 drones, almost 20 missiles at Ukraine in one week
16:55
OPINION
Volyn, Bucha, Amsterdam… Categorical violence?
16:33
Over 10 Russian Shahed drones from Ukraine enter Belarus overnight
16:01
OPINION
Putin at Valdai: A bid for a second Yalta
15:35
22-year-old British volunteer dies in action against Russian forces in Ukraine
14:50
OPINION
In our cynical world it is time to grow up
14:27
Drone crashes in Moldova following Russian attack on Ukraine
14:21
Explosions, blaze at military base: Ukrainian Defense Forces target ammo depots in Russia's Bryansk region
13:59
October sees Russia's heaviest losses in Ukraine - UK defense chief
13:34
Russia launches record number of drones at Ukraine overnight
13:02
Exclusive
Diplomat: For Putin, "negotiations" are just conditions for Ukraine's surrender
12:28
Moscow mayor reports 32 drones target outskirts of Russian capital
11:55
Russian drone attacks strike Odesa, Kharkiv regions, causing casualties
11:33
U.S. may soon announce ceasefire date, security guarantees for Ukraine – Poland's PM
11:06
Russia loses 1,340 soldiers, 11 tanks, 31 artillery systems in one day of war in Ukraine
10:31
Russian forces execute unarmed, wounded Ukrainian soldier
2024, Saturday
9 November
19:30
Exclusive
OSINT analyst explains why Russian army manages to advance in some frontline areas
19:10
Russia may produce 30% more artillery shells than EU next year— Ukraine’s top diplomat
18:43
Trump's adviser: If Zelenskyy demands return of Crimea, he's not serious
18:15
Exclusive
Difficult situation with escalation tendency - military expert on Kurakhove sector
17:44
Exclusive
Trump administration will use its leverage to lift Russia sanctions, says US politician Rashkin
17:15
Investigation of F-16 fighter jet crash: Ukraine appoints 11 forensic examinations
16:49
Exclusive
Poles aren't concerned about Pokrovsk, focused on jobs - former Polish Ambassador Cichotski
16:20
Exclusive
Diplomat explains why Biden won't permit to strike at Russia before Trump's inauguration
15:55
Exclusive
Some officials in Presidential Office realize Trump's victory means end of their career - political analyst
15:25
Pentagon sends 500 interceptor missiles to Ukraine for NASAMS and Patriot systems - media
14:56
Drone strikes at military training ground in Russia's Rostov region - Defense Express
14:25
Exclusive
Trump desperately wants Nobel Peace Prize - politician 
14:00
Updated
Ukrainian drones attack a chemical plant producing ammunition in Russia's Tula region
13:33
Exclusive
Russians end up surrounded: Ukrainian serviceman denies Russian propaganda on Kursk fighting
13:00
Review
Russian attack aftermath, Kursk battles intensify, advances near Chasiv Yar. Serhiy Zgurets' column
12:26
Russia aims to seize more Ukrainian territory before winter freeze - Estonian Intelligence
11:58
Advancing with airborne troops - analysts on Russian counteroffensive in Kursk region
11:00
Ukrainian Defense Forces eliminate over 1,600 Russian troops overnight
More news