Russia has no room for breakthrough with available reserves, says military expert Zgurets

He shared this on Espreso TV.

"After capturing Avdiivka, the enemy offensive started on October 9 and continues today. They’ve been applying pressure in all directions since then. This included the Kharkiv section, Vovchansk, and Lyptsi, expanding the front line to 940 km. Their tactics remain unchanged. The question is, do they have reserves for more powerful actions? Experts differ, with some saying 75% of their forces are used, while Ukraine has used only 35% of its reserves. These assumptions need practical verification," Zgurets commented.

He added that with such a long front, Russia can't make operational advances. However, they are making tactical gains in key areas like Pokrovsk - Toretsk - Chasiv Yar, and possibly Kupyansk and parts of the Kharkiv zone.

"But the enemy's offensive has significantly slowed down. Even with their current reserves, they can't achieve operational breakthroughs. They still have the advantage in aviation, artillery, and manpower, which they will use for a long time. The Russian leadership is likely satisfied with this. We need effective countermeasures to increase their losses. This will determine the balance of forces between the Ukrainian and Russian armies," Zgurets concluded.

• On July 6, there were 151 combat clashes at the front, with the heaviest attacks in the Pokrovsk, Lyman, and Kurakhove areas.
• On July 7, Ukraine's General Staff reported the greatest Russian activity in the Pokrovsk direction. Since the start of the day, Russian troops attempted 45 times to break through Ukrainian defenses near the settlements of New York, Prohres, Vozdvyzhenka, Novooleksandrivka, Kalynove, Lozuvatske, Novoselivka Persha, and Yasnobrodivka.