The West isn’t banking on a “quick peace”

It’s a subtle message: European institutions aren’t holding their breath for a “quick end” to the war. By giving Ukrainians another year, they’re essentially signaling that it’s time to set aside any illusions — such as “Trump will come in January and fix everything.”

This road looks long and grueling — months, not days.

There really is a chance to end the war, as President Zelenskyy says, but it’s still a toss-up: 50/50.

The outcome doesn’t just hinge on Ukraine's endurance. It also depends on the strategies of the U.S. and key allies like the UK, who can help Ukraine push through. And, of course, it rests on how long Russia can keep up its momentum. Right now, they’re throwing everything they’ve got into the fight, raising the stakes as high as possible. But this pace isn’t sustainable forever. At some point, they’ll burn out.

The real question is: when?

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About the author. Viktor Shlinchak, Chairman of the Board of the Institute of World Policy

The editorial staff does not always share the opinions expressed by the blog authors.