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Expert questions Russia's tactical decisions in possible offensive on Dnipropetrovsk region

Sofiia Turko
21 January, 2025 Tuesday
19:53

For the Russian forces, reaching the administrative borders of the Dnipropetrovsk region would have symbolic significance, although geographically it changes nothing

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Ivan Tymochko, Head of the Reserve Council of the Ukrainian Ground Forces, shared on Espreso TV that if Russia launches an offensive on Dnipro and fails, it will only highlight its weakness and inability to conduct strategic military operations. 

He explained that for Putin, a failure would be a significant loss of strategic leverage in negotiations, especially with the U.S. 

Moreover, reaching the administrative borders of Dnipropetrovsk region does not equate to taking over the urbanized or industrial zones of the region. Russian forces will likely continue trying to break through the defense in Pokrovsk and may escalate artillery strikes on the city. After realizing there will be no easy entry, Russia may attempt attacks from the southwest and likely head-on, as heavy artillery fire usually precedes infantry assaults.

The main objective currently set for the Russian army is to achieve the strategic goals outlined by Putin, which include the occupation of Donetsk and Luhansk regions and attempting to regain control of previously occupied territories in Kharkiv. 

"Their task also includes breaking through the Ukrainian defenses on any front and achieving at least an operational or strategic success. However, all these tactical advances come with significant strategic losses. The Russian command is aware of the impact on the morale and readiness of their troops. Putin will continue demanding progress from his forces. The situation in Kursk remains unresolved for Putin, as the Russians face the threat of a Ukrainian counteroffensive in that area," he added.

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