Espreso. Global
OPINION

How long will war last and what does victory mean for Ukraine?

1 May, 2024 Wednesday
20:54

As long as Putin's regime is in power in Russia, the active or covert war won't stop, and the threat to Ukraine from Russia will continue for decades

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Frequently asked questions:

1. How long will the war last?

Until Ukraine stops the Russian offensive and Russia realizes that it is impossible to destroy Ukraine militarily and is forced to negotiate.

2. What is victory for Ukraine?

To stop the Russian offensive and to survive as an independent state with the maximum area and access to the Black Sea. The very existence of Ukraine is Putin's greatest defeat.

3. When will all this end and there will be peace?

“As long as Putin's regime is in power in Russia, the active or covert war will not stop, the threat to Ukraine from Russia will continue for decades. We need to get used to living in a state of war - this is how Israel and South Korea live.”

4. Can Ukraine liberate all the occupied territories by force and return to the 1991 borders?

Yes, it can. If it concentrates forces that will have an advantage in munitions, high-precision weapons, drones and anti-drone systems, and a sufficient number of assault units. But if there is no such advantage, miracles will not happen by themselves.

5. What format for the suspension of hostilities looks realistic at this point?

Stopping hostilities on the front line, which will be difficult to break through on both sides, like the 38th parallel between North and South Korea.

6. Is it possible to stop Russia at the front?

Yes. There are many examples of Ukrainian troops reliably stopping the enemy and inflicting heavy losses on the Russians. The Russians also lack personnel and are trying to push the front with masses of infantry. Infantry is vulnerable to all types of weapons. The availability of high-precision weapons in the form of drones makes it possible to grind down any number of Russian troops. However, high-tech weapons require changes in tactics and employment of troops. Systematic efforts are also needed to protect our infantry - fortifications, anti-drone systems, and firepower cover.

7. Will Ukraine have enough power to fight?

Ukraine has forces and resources, the main problem is their concentration and organization. We do not need to become as numerous as Russia, we need to be numerous and strong in a specific place and at a specific time. The issue of creating superiority in war is not an issue of soldiers, it is a problem of management, organization, and application by the top military and political leadership. To create such an advantage, it is necessary to create a long-term strategy for the development and resistance of the state and society.

Source

About the author: Yuriy Butusov, journalist.

The editors don't always share the opinions expressed by the authors of the blogs.

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