Prigozhin's statements are PR that he wants to use to enter international arena - military expert Mussayev

The telling moment when Prigozhin's henchmen sent a bloody sledgehammer to the European Parliament. This is very serious, because the Prigozhin group, a criminal terrorist formation that is involved in the war against Ukraine, is entering the European "market". Here the question is already in the confrontation of different groups and different clans because very often we have to hear: there are Russian security forces or Russian "hawks" who control the situation. First of all, we are talking about Patrushev, Bortnikov, and perhaps, as the "classics" would say, Naryshkin, who "clung to them."

Certain structures that had full, enormous power over the whole of Russia are gradually losing their role due to the war in Ukraine. First of all, due to the fact that they were mistaken in their assessment of Ukraine's ability to inflict a serious defeat on the Russian Federation.

And here are all the facts with a sledgehammer, Prigozhin's threats to the USA that he will hack their computer system and penetrate it - all this is Prigozhin's PR in order to enter the international arena. This is his personal desire, and it is absolutely not controlled by the power structures of the Russian Federation, and this is evident from everything. And the FSB cannot tell him that, as they say, your area is a certain front of the war in Ukraine, Africa - and that's it. First of all, Putin himself, as well as the FSB, should tell Prigozhin this. However, they already lack moral and actual levers of influence on these terrorist structures. Yes, this is a very serious threat, primarily for Russia. Ukraine will certainly cope with this war. The threat of terrorist activity inside Russia is very high today. The international arena is just PR for raising one's status inside Russia.

We simply always thought that the same Patrushev was much more powerful and could use his unconventional means to influence Prigozhin. Because the mechanism of the FSB is much more powerful than that of Putin's cook.

Many still believe that Patrushev, Bortnikov, and the FSB have greater influence and opportunities than Prigozhin. However, this is not the case at the moment. If Putin himself cannot do anything about Prigozhin's independent actions in the international arena, inside the country, at the front, moreover, his criticism of the Ministry of Defense, attacks on Beglov in St. Petersburg, this confirms the strengthening of terrorist structures inside Russia. And if Prigozhin is not tamed today, then tomorrow all this will begin to develop like a cancerous tumor. And by all indications, Putin has no way to tame Prigozhin. He is a hostage of the domestic and foreign policy that he himself unleashed by letting this genie out of the bottle - his former cook. Now the president of the Russian Federation no longer controls this, and this is a difficult situation for the Russian Federation.

Putin wants to inflame internal disputes in his bunker with the help of this confrontation. However, there is no open coup in Russia with the use of some toxins due to the fact that Putin is paranoid about his own security - nothing surprising. The story of his "fecal suitcase" that follows him has already become legendary, and we see from what distance he communicates with his closest companions.

Putin seems paranoid about his personal security. Today, it is unlikely that the power structures will dare to attempt a coup d'état. The influence of the forces of the FSB or other special services on political life in Russia has weakened. They can organize some opposition to other forces.

Under such conditions, there is no threat of a coup against Putin. Different structures, feeling that Putinism in Russia will suffer a crushing defeat, seek to wait out this period. Many influential political figures went abroad, the last one was Kudrin. These people, who could interfere with the influence of all these "hawks", terrorist-oriented people, were pushed out of the country. Today, Putin is in such a cocoon, when the "hawks" do not allow him to breathe in any other direction. The aspiration of many Russians and political circles of Russia for some kind of peace negotiations, before the end of the war with Ukraine, is being torpedoed in every possible way by "hawks" and terrorist-oriented political figures. Even if Putin wanted real negotiations regarding the restoration of relations with Ukraine and the withdrawal of his troops, he no longer has any influence on this, and he cannot change this direction now. Although it would be a salvation for him. And capitulation and defeat in Ukraine will be his final political and possibly physical death. And this is expected all over the world - both in Russia and here in Kazakhstan, that everything related to the war in Ukraine is moving in this direction, today everyone expects that it will collapse and disappear. After the capitulation, those militant terrorist structures may seize power, and there are signs of this. That they strive for this is visible in all directions, but will they be able to make it happen? The question is huge, it is difficult to predict here.