Russian forces may try to attack in east this summer, using factor of operational surprise - Defense Express

Military expert of Defense Express Ivan Kyrychevskyi told about this on the Espreso TV channel.

“On the one hand, it is possible that the Russians will try to gather the reserves they have. There is a publicly available estimate that another 60,000 troops are not involved and are being trained for combat. Probably, using this reserve, the Russians will try to attack somewhere in the east in June, July or August, using the factor of operational surprise.

There is an even more complicated scenario, where the Russians will launch a large-scale mobilization in the fall to accumulate forces for the winter campaign. Roughly speaking, the prospects that the Kremlin may be preparing for further war look much more complicated than the difficult situation that is currently observed in the eastern and northern regions,” he said.

The processes at the front can be described as a “positional stalemate,” Kyrychevsky said.

“This does not mean that no one is attacking or there is a lull. Quite the contrary, a “positional stalemate” is when there is a high intensity of fighting, but the sides are not advancing. We are on the defensive, but the Russians are also not advancing at a pace that would resonate now. Even if they manage to capture something, it is not for long. Therefore, the question arises as to what strategy the Kremlin may choose for further hostilities,” the military expert added.

• On June 5, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that since the beginning of the day, 64 combat clashes had taken place between the two armies at the front. Russians increase activity in the Pokrovsk direction and in Kharkiv region.