Polish-Ukrainian border crisis as gift for Russia: Expert says, he does not believe in coincidence
The blockade of the Polish-Ukrainian border is becoming a growing problem. According to many experts, it is not only about economic reasons. It also affects Ukraine's defense capabilities. It is important that the blockade participants regularly check what the trucks are carrying, and therefore know about any transport that could support Ukraine. This information is valuable for Russian intelligence.
The blocking of the Polish-Ukrainian border is increasingly noticeable among our eastern neighbors (Ukrainians - ed.). Many believe that this is a gift for Russia, which is able to control the supplies coming to the front. - Our (Polish - ed.) authorities did not accept this, or the services did not report it to them adequately," says Lieutenant Colonel Maciej Korowaj in an interview with Onet. - Could all this be related to Russia's actions? I think it is very likely so," he adds.
‘There are no coincidences’
Reserve Lieutenant Colonel Maciej Korowaj, an expert engaged in analyzing the Russian army for years, has a similar view. He notes that he does not believe in coincidence. Although, he adds, in the current situation, of course, it is also difficult to point to material evidence of the activities of Russian services.
"However, it is enough to rely on the available facts and answer the question of what is the reason for the blockade of the border, how and when it began. After answering them, we will be able to guess what agenda this fits into," says the Polish military officer.
"In addition, we should note that these actions are primarily related to what is happening in Israel, i.e., the redirection of part of the research capacities of Western countries, especially the United States, to the issue of the Israeli-Palestinian war. In addition to this, we also have, among other things, internal Ukrainian frictions, and changes in our foreign policy, but also in our domestic policy. It all adds up," he adds.
According to Lieutenant Colonel Korowaj, Russian intelligence is a mosaic. This means that it can construct something from different elements. To do this, it does not have to take direct action.
"Appropriate propaganda activities, proposals, various techno-psychological techniques, for example, that can be applied on the Internet and used to influence decision makers, are enough. All of this needs to be researched," he notes.
Was Poland's reaction too late?
In his opinion, in this situation, the special services could have behaved better. They should have known that such elements could be used by the Russians.
"Our authorities did not pay attention to this, or the services conveyed it to them in an inadequate way. It is difficult to answer the question of how it really happened," emphasizes Lieutenant Colonel Korowaj. "Can all this be linked to Russia's actions? I believe with a high degree of probability that it is," he adds.
At the same time, our interlocutor argues that the prolonged crisis is a problem not only of the situation on the Ukrainian front but also of Polish-Ukrainian relations. This issue is being discussed in the media, willy-nilly, by politicians and the public on both sides of the border," he said.
Author: Piotr Rogozyński