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How likely is Russia to attack EU and NATO countries

6 June, 2024 Thursday
13:58

Oleksiy Yizhak, an analyst at the National Institute for Strategic Studies, examines the probability of Russia launching attacks on European countries amid NATO's three-year preparation for a potential conflict with Russia

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He shared his opinions with Espreso TV.

Yizhak underscored that preparations are underway, likely based on intelligence assessments. At the same time, the analyst believes that Russia will not attack the countries of the European Union and the Alliance.

"I doubt Russia could conduct large-scale frontline operations in two or three years. Currently, they're waging war against us at the level of companies, maybe battalions, attempting to advance short distances. Their weapon of choice, the KAB, though imprecise, strikes on shopping centers near European border cities - this is a serious threat, of course,” he said.

The expert suggests that Russia may increase its potential in a few years, but there is no reason to think so.

"They're resorting to their traditional tactics of creating maximum threat without an official declaration of war. The whole of Europe is now suffering from strange diversions, fires, sabotage of infrastructures, there are incidents on the Belarusian-Polish border again, these breakthroughs, provocations regarding maritime borders and statements about nuclear exercises, firing of KABs at shopping centers in Kharkiv. All this creates a threat, a new form, a stage of Russian hybrid warfare. They see that they cannot conduct large-scale frontline operations - it is expensive for them, and they want to move a little bit into hybrid warfare,” summarized the analyst of the National Institute for Strategic Studies.

  • The Commander-in-Chief of the Norwegian Armed Forces, General Eirik Kristoffersen, suggests that NATO's window of opportunity to prepare for a possible confrontation with Russia has shrunk to two to three years. 
  • On June 5, Russian President Vladimir Putin threatened countries that send military aid to Ukraine.  

 
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