Why do we need a new ‘Teheran 43’?
The United States has fallen into a trap of thinking that the main problem is the war in Ukraine, not Putin
We need an anti-Putin version of ‘Teheran 43’, because our Western partners have no idea what to do with the Kremlin Fuhrer after his defeat in the war. That is why a certain military wing of the US government is interested in any format of peace in Ukraine, instead of achieving the expected victory over the Putin regime. "Peace" in this sense means the cessation of hostilities, and, with a high degree of probability, the preservation of the Kremlin's protectorate over part of the occupied territories. Another publication (this time in The Washington Post) makes us wonder why the United States prefers to fight the consequences rather than the cause.
The "confirmation trap" is a habit of looking for and accepting only the information that confirms beliefs and established opinions, avoiding fresh approaches.
The current leak was prepared, according to journalists, by the office of the Director of National Intelligence and focuses on describing the shortcomings in the preparation of the counteroffensive. The conclusion is traditional: "The prospect of billions of dollars being poured into a military stalemate...could weaken the resolve of Kyiv's supporters in Europe and the United States, possibly intensifying calls for talks between Kyiv and Moscow."
“In the second year of the war, US military experts are still getting used to the fact that the power of the Ukrainian army cannot be measured by the American standard of templates, and with Russian notches. 12 months ago, the Ukrainian Armed Forces had many times less chance of success, and the same experts did not advise the White House to share weapons with Kyiv”
In the second year of the war, US military experts are still getting used to the fact that the power of the Ukrainian army cannot be measured by the American standard of templates, and with Russian notches. 12 months ago, the Ukrainian Armed Forces had many times less chance of success, and the same experts did not advise the White House to share weapons with Kyiv. Most of Biden's decisions on arms deliveries were politically motivated and made against the Pentagon's recommendations. The political steps proved to be justified.
Current American assessments of the Ukrainian military campaign should also take into account the high degree of readiness of the soldiers to liberate their land. In addition, several hundred long-range missiles and ammunition delivered by our Western partners in a timely manner could have greatly enhanced Ukraine's offensive potential. But the US intelligence community did not mention this in their conclusions.
The "confirmation trap" or "confirmation bias" of American experts is based on the desire to quickly end the war with Moscow... at any cost.
“The task of Ukrainian diplomacy is to remind our Western partners that we are not only de-occupying our territories, but also helping the world to defend itself against the Russian imperialist threat. This means that the agenda of the civilized world should include not only the liberation of all Ukrainian lands, but also the deputinization of Russia.”
The US military machine does not assess the risks of the continued stay of the bunker old man in the Kremlin, which obviously gives the impression that the main problem is Putin's war, not the tyrant Putin himself, who started it and is ready to terrorize the world in the future.
The task of Ukrainian diplomacy is to remind our Western partners that we are not only de-occupying our territories, but also helping the world to defend itself against the Russian imperialist threat.
This means that the agenda of the civilized world should include not only the liberation of all Ukrainian lands, but also the deputinization of Russia.
The entire anti-Putin coalition needs its own ‘Teheran 43’, where the leaders of the free world will decide on a plan to dismantle the last empire in Europe. Until then, tunnel thinking, focusing on one aspect of the complex "Putin problem" will deprive our Western partners of the ability to see the situation systematically and to choose the right solutions.
About the author. Orest Sohar, journalist, editor-in-chief of Obozrevatel
The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by the authors of the blogs.
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