Strikes deep into Russia: Biden's logic

First, it's important to recognize that North Korean soldiers are only indirectly related to Biden's current decision. The main factor that had held him back until now was the fear that deep strikes into Russia could lead to a dangerous escalation for the U.S., NATO, and Ukraine with Putin.

I’ve already explained why, with Trump’s inauguration on the horizon, this risk is minimal. It seems that now, more than ever, there is an opportunity to achieve the long-awaited resolution. I think I understand the logic behind "Grandpa Joe’s" decision.

What I didn't mention earlier was my concern that Biden might hesitate to make this decision for purely domestic political reasons. After all, the responsibility and risks are his, one way or another. Meanwhile, Trump will undoubtedly take credit for any outcomes.

This brings us to another key point that’s important to understand. Allowing the Ukrainian Armed Forces to strike a few hundred kilometers into Russia won’t fundamentally change the course of the war. However, it could help stabilize the situation along the front line and provide Ukraine with additional leverage in future ceasefire negotiations.

At first, I wasn’t sure that Biden would give his fierce political rival such a pass. It’s nice, for a change, to be “pleasantly surprised.”

And even if Trump eventually reverses Biden’s decision, as some predict, he’ll still get something in return. That’s the essence of the negotiation process.

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About the author. Karl Volokh, political analyst, blogger.

The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by the blog authors.