Russian MoD forces several African countries to terminate cooperation with Wagner PMC – ISW

This is stated in the daily report of the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

The Russian government threatens to end military-technical support and material support if countries continue to leverage existing ties with Wagner.

“Wagner-affiliated sources claimed that the Russian MoD already issued Burkina Faso an ultimatum by threatening to end Russian support if Burkina Faso continues to use Wagner forces. These claims are unconfirmed and primarily come from Wagner-affiliated sources, but track with ISW’s previous assessments that the Kremlin seeks to destroy or restructure Wagner in favor of Russian MoD-controlled PMCs,” the report says. 

Prigozhin's mutiny, deals with Lukashenko, and Belarus

On June 23, it was reported that Russian troops attacked the Wagner PMC base with missiles. The leader of the Wagner group, Yevgeny Prigozhin, talked about a "march of justice" and said around 25,000 mercenaries were heading to Moscow. These fighters moved into different areas and approached Russia's capital. They set up points with fire, dug trenches, and got all their security forces ready.

On the evening of June 24, Alexander Lukashenko, the self-declared president of Belarus, released a statement. It said that the leader of the Wagner group was ready to stop his mercenaries from moving to Moscow and reach an agreement with the Kremlin. This supposed agreement between Prigozhin and Lukashenko was made known.

Prigozhin stated that their fighters stopped about 200 km from Moscow and returned to their camps. He was allowed to go to Belarus by the Russian leader, Vladimir Putin. Russia promised to drop the criminal charges against him.

On June 26, Putin talked about Prigozhin's mutiny and gave the Wagner group three options for what they could do next.

On June 27, Russia's Federal Security Service said they closed the criminal case involving the armed rebellion where Yevgeny Prigozhin was involved.

On that same day, Belarus's self-proclaimed president confirmed that Yevgeny Prigozhin had come to Belarus. He mentioned that the Wagner group members who came along would not be guarding any Russian nuclear weapons stationed there.

By June 29, satellite pictures showed a tent camp being set up near Osipovichi in Belarus's Mogilev region. It was thought that this camp was for the Wagner group.

On July 27, Yevgeny Prigozhin was seen at the "Russia-Africa" forum. This marked the first time he appeared publicly after the mutiny.

The GUR reported that the Wagner group's mercenaries had gone back to the "business projects" they were involved in before Russia fully invaded Ukraine.