Espreso. Global
Exclusive

Russia's economic growth claims are inflation manipulation, says analyst

17 February, 2025 Monday
13:18

Illia Neskhodovskyi, head of the analytical direction at the NGO ANTS, noted that Russia's civilian economy is declining, as defense industry enterprises do not pay VAT

client/title.list_title

He shared the information on Espreso TV.

"The current state of Russia's economy is simple manipulation. If you can understate inflation figures, you'll see growth, but it's driven by price increases. There's rampant inflation that you can't stop, so the decision is made to raise the central bank's key rate. As a result, you manipulate this figure and claim growth," commented the head of the analytical direction at the NGO ANTS.

According to him, there are ways to assess real inflation, such as consumption tax revenue, specifically VAT. This tax increases in two cases: when the economy grows, increasing budget revenue from VAT, or when inflation occurs, which also raises VAT - this is known as the inflation tax.

"It should be noted that defense industry enterprises do not pay VAT, as there is no consumption; the funds are allocated for weapon production for the front. As a result, there is a decline in the civilian economy across virtually all sectors. Therefore, there is no economic growth in Russia, only a decline. But the Russians report a 4.1% GDP growth, and the only explanation for this is inflation manipulation. It's like in the USSR, when a piglet was born, by the time the data reached the center, there were already 20 piglets. This is what the Russian ministries of economy and finance are doing now - to show inflated, fictitious growth," concluded Illia Neskhodovskyi.

  • The head of Russia's Central Bank, Elvira Nabiullina, stated on November 19 that nearly all available resources in the Russian economy have already been utilized.
Tags:
Read also:
  • News
2025, Thursday
20 February
13:14
Exclusive
Situation in Ukraine’s Kupiansk sector may result in crisis — military expert
12:53
OPINION
France takes the lead in supporting Ukraine
12:36
Starmer to present peacekeeping plan for Ukraine to Trump - media
12:15
Trump plans to renew rare earth minerals deal with Ukraine
11:56
Russia seeks to drive wedge between Poland and Ukraine – Ukraine's spy chief
11:36
Review
Ukraine develops guided bombs, drones play key role in "enforcing oil embargo" on Russian refineries. Serhiy Zgurets’ column
11:16
Exclusive
Russia escalates abductions and false charges in occupied territories – Zaporizhzhia official
10:53
Exclusive
"Front line will stabilize along Bahatyr and Kostiantynopil": Military expert on Kurakhove direction
10:40
Russia likely plans to steal energy from occupied Zaporizhzhia NPP
10:17
Trump operates in information ecosystem that echoes Putin’s views – former U.S. Ambassador to Russia
09:56
Russia launches massive attack on Ukraine: casualties reported in Odesa, Kherson
09:35
Russia loses 1,190 soldiers, 14 tanks, 160 UAVs in one day of war in Ukraine
2025, Wednesday
19 February
22:10
Ukraine rescues 15 children, including teens forced into Russian military draft
21:55
Updated
Europe reacts to Trump's remarks that Zelenskyy is a "dictator"
21:40
Exclusive
Ukraine Russia war live map, February 12-19
Ukrainian forces push back Russian army in some areas of Pokrovsk direction
21:25
Exclusive
Trump unaware of Zelenskyy's real ratings, says political scientist
21:10
Russian forces make significant gains near Andriivka in Donetsk region — DeepState
20:53
OPINION
Zelenskyy fires back at Trump’s remarks with strong response
20:38
Trump calls Zelenskyy “modestly successful comedian”, “dictator without elections”
20:25
Threat from Belarus: how fast can Russia build a strike force?
20:10
Ukrainian soldier does more for U.S. and European security than all NATO armies
19:54
Exclusive
Trump’s stance raises questions about air defense missile supplies – Defense Express
19:38
Putin lies about Russian troops crossing into Ukraine from Kursk region
19:22
What Russia may get from North Korea in March: Shells, ballistic missiles,KN-25 MLRS
19:06
Ukrainian defense industry covers 30% of military needs — Zelenskyy
18:50
Putin's reelection was illegitimate - Ukraine's disinformation center
18:35
Elections during wartime are Russia’s try to defeat Ukraine – Zurabishvili
18:20
"Ukraine doesn’t want peace": Russia’s latest fake narrative led by Putin’s ally
18:04
Exclusive
Ukraine’s battlefield success may turn peace talks upside down — military analyst
17:55
Updated
U.S. envoy Keith Kellogg arrives in Kyiv, holds high-level talks
17:47
North Korean troops in Kursk region told they’re fighting South Korean soldiers
17:31
Trucks and thermal imagers: Ukraine receives new military aid package from Lithuania
17:14
OPINION
Ukraine between predators: How to counter Putin and Trump
16:52
Ukraine’s former top general names key factors for Ukraine’s victory over Russia
16:43
Updated
EU approves 16th sanctions package against Russia
16:32
UK’s “air policing” proposal to Ukraine: Will it make a difference?
16:14
"War cost us $320 billion": Zelenskyy responds to Trump’s aid reimbursement demands
16:07
Ukrainian President names countries opposing Ukraine’s NATO membership
15:54
Exclusive
Russia may test NATO's Article 5 response with localized war in Estonia — Ukrainian officer
15:36
OPINION
U.S.-Russia talks in Riyadh: key takeaways
More news