Espreso. Global
OPINION

Prigozhin was removed demonstratively: if system kills, it is afraid of recurrence

25 August, 2023 Friday
20:17

Let's talk about a few more important things about Prigozhin and Co

client/title.list_title

If Putin wanted to look strong in this whole story, he had two ways:

1. To drown Prigozhin's rebellion in blood, and kill him. Back then. In June.

2. To arrest, try, and demonstratively organize a show trial. Back when the conflict between Prigozhin and Shoigu was obvious, but it did not come to a riot.

"For the first scenario, Putin did not have the determination, so he decided to use cunning. For the second, either he had no information or he really believed that it was all bullshit and the conflict would not go beyond information warfare."

There was also a light option to preserve his reputation. After the "agreements" on Prigozhin's safety, it was easy to corner him with criminal cases and put him in prison for 20 years. Just like Navalny.

What happened is that Putin does not trust his system very much. And that's why Prigozhin was demonstratively liquidated. If the system, instead of punishing for show, kills, it is afraid of a recurrence.

He was removed in order to intimidate possible successors on the path of opposition to Putin in his inner circle. And this circle is getting narrower and narrower.

After Prigozhin's rebellion, two very marker events occurred: the resignation of General Popov, who complained about the lack of men and equipment in repelling the counteroffensive (he was exiled to Syria) and the arrest of Girkin, who criticized the government for the objective problems of the Russian army from a right-wing perspective. Even Surovikin's resignation is not such a marker.

"So, these two events showed that the core of the regime would not accept criticism even from like-minded people on the issue of war, that the main criterion for approaching Putin would be exclusive loyalty, and that politically and apparatus-wise, Putin had moved into the stage of defense in a besieged fortress."

This is despite the fact that the dynamics of events at the front and the need for mobilization have already forced Putin to significantly strengthen the power of governors and regional elites, making them de facto satraps in the classical sense of the word. That is, they can already form their own de facto private armies.

Therefore, the murder of Prigozhin and his associates is, first of all, a narrowing of the tools from complex (trial, damaging reputation, deprivation of influence) to primitive. When you just kill some people and intimidate others. In the hope that it won't explode. And at the same time, you radicalize all possible future rebellions, and additionally create "bookmarks" for them.

That is why the logic of "today you die, and tomorrow I will" continues to dominate Putin's strategic plans. And this is a good sign.

Source

About the author. Yuriy Bohdanov, publicist and strategic communications specialist in business, public administration and politics.

The editors don't always share the opinions expressed by the authors of the blogs.

Tags:
Read also:
  • News
2024, Monday
22 July
14:44
EU Council extends sanctions against Russia for another 6 months
14:26
Ukraine to receive 100,000 ammunition rounds via Czech initiative by end of summer
13:59
Ukraine reaches agreement on external debt restructuring
13:18
EU foreign ministers meet in Brussels to discuss Orban's 'peacekeeping tour'
13:11
Ukraine's FM Kuleba to visit China: key topics of talks
13:00
Exclusive
Biden's withdrawal shows Democrats’ unconventional approach — Ukrainian diplomat
12:44
Shipments of microelectronics from China, Hong Kong to Russia drop 28% in 2024
12:31
Exclusive
Russia likely chose media figure to catalyze events in Ukraine: expert on Iryna Farion’s murder
12:16
Russia claims to down 75 UAVs, Tuapse oil depot on fire
12:01
OPINION
Trump realizes Ukraine issue needs to be addressed directly with Ukraine
11:40
Review
Why the West contemplates Ukraine striking Russia with Western weapons
10:55
Ukrainian team NaVi wins CS2 tournament
10:33
Exclusive
Russian troops have no advances in Kharkiv region — Achilles battalion commander 
10:13
Exclusive
Ukraine could block Crimea this year — military expert Zgurets
09:56
Ukraine's Zelenskyy reponds to Biden's withdrawal from presidential race
09:36
Russia loses 1,050 soldiers, 51 artillery systems, 18 tanks in one day of war in Ukraine
2024, Sunday
21 July
21:15
Ukrainian MPs issue ultimatum on Moscow Patriarchate ban
20:51
Interview
For most Trump supporters, Ukraine is a non-issue – political scientist Piontkovsky
20:14
Exclusive
How Russia's occupation of Prohres village impacts the course of this war 
19:55
Can Russia сontinue to fight Ukraine for another decade
19:31
OPINION
The war will continue. There is simply no other option
18:42
Russian army threatens farmers over poor yields following Russia's annihilation of the Kakhovka dam
18:12
France restricts access to 2024 Olympics for Russian, Belarusian journalists and technical support
17:44
OPINION
Why does Russia fear democracy?
17:19
Funeral for Polish volunteer soldier, killed on front line in Ukraine
16:58
Georgia calls military volunteers who fought in Ukraine in for questioning
16:38
Trump's ex-advisor Bolton: Concessions to Putin will devastate both Ukraine and U.S.
15:50
OPINION
"Peacemakers with silencers": How Trump's radicalization will impact end of war in Ukraine
15:20
Russian troops ready new assaults on Vovchansk and Hlyboke
14:53
Russia's Il-76 aircraft malfunction due to poor-quality parts - media
14:25
Russia launches 13 air bombs on Toretsk overnight
13:55
OPINION
Zelenskyy-Trump: Analysis
13:14
Slovak PM Fico criticises sanctions on Russian oil company Lukoil in conversation with Shmyhal
12:47
Russian troops target civilians with drone in Beryslav
12:14
172 clashes at the front as Ukrainian forces repel 52 Russian attacks near Pokrovsk – General Staff
11:45
Exclusive
“Out of operation for a while”: aviation expert on Russia’s Millerovo airfield attack
11:17
Ukraine’s air defense destroys 35 Russian Shaheds, 2 Kh-59/69 missiles
10:41
Russia loses 1,110 soldiers, one air defense system, 9 tanks, and 44 artillery systems in a day
2024, Saturday
20 July
19:51
Russia attacks Ivashky village in Kharkiv region with FPV drone, killing civilians
19:28
Review
Skyguard system: advanced defense against airborne threats
More news