Bakhmut сonsequences 

The defense of Bakhmut, Vuhledar and other positions, where the AFU are holding on heroically, is beginning to give some results. In the Russian army, we can notice "discord and vacillation". The conflict between Prigozhin and Shoigu takes a new turn. Unlike Kadyrov, he did not hide from publicity. On the contrary, he went into open war. In effect, Prigozhin is running an election campaign, he lacks only Bakhmut to be successful. If he succeeded, his position in Russian society would become unbreakable. He requires more weapons and resources. The fact that Prigozhin could not seize Bakhmut did not allow him to become more influential and develop Wagner PMC.

In effect, Prigozhin is running an election campaign, he lacks only Bakhmut to be successful. If he succeeded, his position in Russian society would become unbreakable

In response, Shoigu understands that Prigozhin's success is a massive blow. He hinders the effective work of Wagner PMC, but at the same time, the Vuhledar failure doesn’t look good for him either. This conflict will lead to serious political consequences. It also shows that Putin has removed himself from the war, and does not know how to actually win it, but expects it from his generals who are starting a game of "last man standing" among themselves.

Prigozhin's attack on the Russian general staff creates ground for other attacks. They start raising the issues of poor salaries for the volunteers, staff, and the wounded. In the “LPR” there was an uproar over the humiliation of their "officers" who didn’t actually undergo officer training. Every new frontline failure will increase waves of discontent and riots in the Russian army. Since July, the “world's second army" can only boast of Soledar, which is basically a village.

The demoralization of the Russian army is the best gift before our counteroffensive. This year will definitely end with our victory

Personnel changes that took place a month ago were publicly announced in Russia. The idea was that the new names of military leaders would quell discontent and create new expectations. But since they were all appointed a month ago, it can be argued that they are responsible for the failure in Bakhmut and other areas.

The demoralization of the Russian army is the best gift before our counteroffensive. This year will definitely end with our victory.

Source

About the author. Viktor Andrusiv, political and public figure, analyst and publicist

The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by the blog authors.