Georgia: Putin's vendetta to begin in October
The Kremlin's biggest electoral victory in another country may soon happen
This country has been strategically chosen—Georgia, which will hold parliamentary elections on October 26. Notably, these elections will take place under a fully proportional system, a change from the previous elections that were conducted under a mixed system.
In Georgia, the technology of fostering a pathological fear of war with Russia is being effectively employed. This is not merely about billboards depicting destroyed Ukrainian cities.
The point is that Georgians themselves, especially those on the periphery, choose the money bird in their hands over the crane of dignity in the sky.
A poll by Georgian Opinion Research Business International shows that the Georgian Dream party (59.3%) will win the election, gradually pushing the country into the arms of Russia and removing European integration from the agenda. Tinatin Bokuchava's Unity - National Movement bloc, the main opposition force, has only 13%.
Polls by the opposition channel Formula TV show that the Georgian Dream has a rating of only 32%.
However, it is difficult to find real sociology on the elections in Georgia, as it is usually used as a technology for targeting voters.
Other parties are in the range of 5-8% or less (the election has a 5% threshold). Gakharia's opposition force For Georgia and banker Khazaradze's Strong Georgia alliance have a chance. President Zurabishvili is trying to become a kind of unifying chain between these two parties.
There is also the Coalition for Change. All of them are trying to position themselves as an alternative to the main opposition party, the United National Movement.
The Georgian Dream of oligarch Ivanishvili is trying to sell two theses in these elections: peace and economic growth. In addition, the oligarch is trying to capitalize on the electoral expansion with his own person, as he has announced his return to public politics as the honorary chairman of the party.
Having been in power since 2012, Ivanishvili has actually built an effective mafia structure, which is now being outsourced for geopolitical purposes in his private and clan interests. And it will be impossible to bring it down. Basically, Ivanishvili has built a regime that is very similar to Orban's in Hungary.
The opposition is completely unbalanced, fragmented, and marginalized through media pressure and interpersonal infighting.
About the author. Oleh Posternak, political strategist, political consultant, member of the Association of Professional Political Consultants of Ukraine
The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by the blog authors.
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