U.S. interests align closely with Ukraine's vision of victory - military expert

Military expert Oleksandr Kovalenko expressed this opinion on his Telegram channel.

As Donald Trump’s inauguration approaches, the information space is increasingly filled with dissonant statements from individuals with no influence on U.S. foreign policy. However, it is not these out-of-context statements but the numerous peace plans dominating the media - the German scenario, Finnish model, Israeli option, Chinese peace plan, and the widely discussed Kellogg plan - that warrant closer attention.

The plan, to put it mildly, is disconnected from common sense. According to it, Ukraine would abandon NATO, the war would be frozen, and sanctions against Russia would gradually be lifted. It feels like a plan designed with one principle: "Everything goes to Russia, and immediately," which appears to be a trap with the inevitable continuation of the war in two to three years.

On the other hand, Keith Kellogg is unlikely to inspire Donald Trump, with his MAGA agenda, to act in such a defeatist way as it would likely hurt U.S. interests.

U.S. economic and military interests:

• Lifting sanctions on Russia would hurt U.S. energy companies currently benefiting from filling Russia’s market gap.
• Halting arms supplies to Ukraine would reduce U.S. defense industry profits and disrupt the replenishment of military stockpiles.
• Ukraine joining NATO would reduce U.S. military presence in Europe, potentially aligning with Trump’s criticism of European defense spending.

And finally, a simple question — who are we negotiating with?

A country battered by massive losses in the war in Ukraine, an exhausted army, shrinking influence limited to North Korea, rising resistance in Africa, and a collapsing Syrian dictatorship? Could such a weakened country propose better peace terms than Kremlin ultimatums, and would the 47th U.S. president truly endorse such a plan?

There is a lot of talk about how Ukraine won’t be satisfied with this or that peace plan or model being discussed. But no one is talking about what actually satisfies the U.S. We should focus on that - the interests of the U.S. in the peace process in Ukraine. Under what conditions, and under which circumstances, will these interests be fully met? And by a strange coincidence, the interests of the U.S. align more closely with Ukraine's vision of victory.

“Considering the current state of Western political discourse from authors of varying political affiliations, none of the proposed plans align with U.S. interests - and that’s a good thing,” Kovalenko concluded.