Espreso. Global
Review

Russian Su-27 attack over Black Sea and defense of Bakhmut. Serhiy Zgurets 

15 March, 2023 Wednesday
13:36

The danger associated with Russia’s actions is increasing, and this may cause more global hostilities

Russian Su-27 attack on American MQ-9 drone

Two Russian fighter jets attempted to disrupt the operation of a US Air Force MQ-9 drone over the Black Sea. The Su-27 jet circled over the drone, jettisoning fuel several times before causing the drone to be sunk. The US State Department plans to contact Russia regarding the incident. It remains unclear how the drone's propellers were destroyed while the Russian fighter jets remained intact. This incident highlights the potential "black swans" that can arise during military operations.

Russians over the Black Sea have resorted to similar actions before. Last September, two Russian Su-27 fighter jets escorted a British reconnaissance aircraft in the international zone over the Black Sea. During the incident, a missile was launched from the plane. British Defense Minister Ben Wallace later wrote a letter to his Russian counterpart, Sergei Shoigu, seeking an explanation. The Russian side claimed it was a technical failure in the operation of the Su-27 fighter.

We are now facing the second incident of this kind, which is dangerous as it may lead to a real clash between countries striving to avoid involvement in the war in Ukraine. Both the US and Great Britain share similar approaches to prevent the spread of the war beyond Ukraine's borders. It is worth noting that Russian cruise missiles were previously detected in Romania, despite Bucharest denying it. Consequently, the actions of the Russian Federation increase the risk of global military clashes.

Frontline situation 

The Ukrainian military is successfully deterring the enemy on multiple fronts. The Commander-in-Chief held a meeting yesterday where all Staff members expressed a unified position on the continued defense of the city of Bakhmut.

Oleksiy Hetman, a Russian-Ukrainian war veteran and reserve major, reported ongoing fighting in the north along the arc from Kupiansk to Vuhledar. The enemy is attempting to attack Lyman and reach Slovyansk. They are also attacking from the north and south near Vuhledar and Huliaypole, with the goal of reaching the southern outskirts of Zaporizhzhia. Battles in Marinka and Avdiivka have been ongoing for several years.

The enemy planned to cut the arc from Kupiansk to Vuhledar, with the cities of Marinka, Avdiivka, and Bakhmut located in the middle. Their aim was to send a large number of troops to these cities and move north and south to surround our group in the east. We are aware of the enemy's plans and hope that they will not succeed.

According to Hetman, the Russians have mobilized a large number of military personnel who have joined the hostilities. Despite having little equipment and light infantry, the situation is not as favorable as it appears. Due to a lack of equipment to provide for the newly mobilized troops - which number half a million according to Russian army staffing standards - the enemy still has an advantage in tanks and artillery. In the Luhansk region alone, they have about 2,000 heavy equipment, and the same amount in the south, along with 700 units of various artillery. Approximately 120,000 military personnel are concentrated in the north and 150,000 in the south, with ongoing troop transportation. Although they have plenty of equipment, there is insufficient additional equipment to support their mobilized forces.

Hetman noted that the Russians are attacking on a relatively small section of the front - 10-30 km.

Their tactic for conducting hostilities involves heavy artillery shelling and destruction, followed by infantry and heavy equipment. However, due to insufficient resources, they cannot do this simultaneously in all directions, so they focus on several chosen directions. The main forces are concentrated in a limited area where the enemy seeks to break through the front line. Offensive actions commence once a gap is created, and additional forces are added to the assault. This is likely why they are attacking in five areas. Currently, there is parity in the number of artillery shots, but the enemy has an advantage in areas where they are concentrated.

Tags:
Read also:
  • News
2024, Wednesday
17 April
19:24
Germany appeals to partners to find additional air defense systems for Ukraine
19:02
Alliance to convene NATO-Ukraine Council meeting on April 19 - Stoltenberg
18:43
Exclusive
Strike on Russian airbase in Crimea: expert tells whether there could be Zircon missiles
18:21
Five Ukrainian cities recognized as transparent in times of war - Transparency International Ukraine
18:00
ATACMS could be used to destroy S-400 at Russia's air base in Crimea
17:39
Updated
Scores of civilians killed and injured in Russian missile attack on Chernihiv
17:34
Russian 'peacekeepers' start to leave Nagorno-Karabakh
17:12
OPINION
"Ordinary voters" will lead to punishment
16:54
Russia bans 235 Australian MPs from entering country in response to sanctions
16:35
Russia engages over 1,000 teenagers in making Shahed UAVs — Center for National Resistance
15:41
Russia is preparing provocation against Ukraine over alleged Western arms trafficking in Africa
15:13
Updated
Ukraine Intelligence's drones attack Container radar in Mordovia - media
15:00
Exclusive
April 10-17 live war map: Russian forces mobilize reserves to break through front lines
14:25
OPINION
I brought deported Ukrainian children to speak at UN and it changed the world
13:58
Yana Stepanenko raises over USD 15,000 for military at Boston marathon
13:30
Mi-8 helicopter destroyed in Russian Samara – Ukraine's Intelligence
13:08
Exclusive
"Very severe detonation": Captain of Ukrainian Navy Reserve explains importance of Dzhankoi airfield strike
12:52
Exclusive
Ukrainian drone production volumes have increased significantly - military expert Zgurets
12:25
Updated
Explosions heard near Dzhankoi military airfield in Crimea - Russian media
12:14
Kharkiv Mayor says city could become "second Aleppo" without US help
11:58
Exclusive
Ukraine's armed forces prevent Russia's advance near Chasiv Yar - Rubizh brigade 
11:35
OPINION
Why won't the US and its allies crush Iran?
10:50
"Critical need": US Congress calls to provide urgent aid to Ukraine
10:30
Russian army loses 4 tanks, 15 artillery systems and 710 soldiers per day — Ukraine's General Staff
10:11
Exclusive
Russia currently lacks resources and conditions to quickly capture Chasiv Yar - Information Resistance
09:34
U.S. aid delays limit Ukraine's defense and give Russia flexibility to attack - ISW
2024, Tuesday
16 April
21:20
Review
Victorious news of 783rd day of war: Ukraine blackouts two Russian military plants, IMF predicts Ukraine's GDP growth this year
20:55
Zelenskyy announces request to convene NATO-Ukraine Council meeting
20:30
Support for Ukraine's recovery at Russian assets expense: PACE unanimously adopts resolution
20:05
Exclusive
Patriot can't intercept such missiles: aviation expert explains how Russia destroyed Trypilska TPP
19:40
Exclusive
Russia views operation in Bakhmut area as springboard for summer offensive — Defense Express
19:16
Exclusive
Inviting Russia is illogical, it has nothing to do at peace summit — political scientist Levus
18:52
Ukraine verifies 1,700 civilian hostages held by Russia — Ombudsman
18:25
OPINION
On the aftermath of Iran's strike on Israel
18:00
Ukraine builds underground hospitals in Kherson region — Ukrainian official
17:40
Russia keeps civilian Ukrainians prisoner fearing they may serve as war crime witnesses — Ombudsman
17:11
OPINION
Ukraine emerges as crucial in shaping new world order
16:43
Russia claims Ukraine would use “Olympic truce” for regrouping
16:18
Power substation in Russia’s Bryansk burns down, cutting power to military facilities
16:02
Russia's war against Ukraine: Xi tells Scholz he supports international peace conference with participation of all sides
More news