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Russia's potential to wage war against Ukraine slowly dries up - expert

25 November, 2024 Monday
20:21

Yurii Bohdanov, public relations expert specializing in strategic communications for business, government, and politics, discussed the factors affecting Russia's capacity to sustain the war

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He expressed this opinion on Espreso TV.

"As for the factors, the first and most important factor is how painful the war is for Russians. No matter how many people say that Putin has turned things around, such electoral and informational dictatorships mostly exist on a certain social contract between the government and, in the case of Russians, the population that exists there. Therefore, if Putin feels that the level of discontent and the level of non-support for the war is such that it threatens his regime, or his entourage feels it, then this will directly affect the timing of the war. So yes, economic sanctions are very important," he said.

Yurii Bohdanov also noted that in any case, Russia is running out of resources and potential, despite the assistance provided by Iran, North Korea, and China.

"The second thing that affects the timing is the extent to which Russia is able to restore its military stockpiles and its military power. We are now seeing that despite the fact that it is supported by Iran, North Korea, and China, which provides mostly non-military support, its potential is still being gradually exhausted. This is especially evident in the ammunition depots. Plus, the third thing is that the way Russia is waging war is very costly. That is, their current offensive, as everyone who is more or less involved in it says, is being sustained by a huge decline in resources, and no matter how great Russia's resources are, whether human or material, they are still not inexhaustible. We don't really know where the point of no return is. Given the way Nabiulina (the head of the Russian Central Bank - ed.) is sounding the alarm, talking about the economy overheating, it could be in three months, a year and a half, or a year, we just can't guess," says the specialist in strategic communications in business, public administration, and politics.

  • On November 21, it was reported that the State Duma of the Russian Federation passed the law "On the Federal Budget for 2025 and for the Planning Period 2026-2027." It provides for record spending on military needs.
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