Espreso. Global

Military expert comments on WSJ article about Russian drone plant

28 May, 2024 Tuesday
17:28

Under current conditions, Russia has no prospect of producing 6,000 Shaheds per year, Ukrainian military expert Oleksandr Kovalenko says

client/title.list_title

The expert commented on the recent article, titled The Russian Drone Plant That Could Shape the War in Ukraine, that was published in The Wall Street Journal.

"This article gives me an unpleasant déjà vu, with a flavor of journalistic necrophilia. After all, in February 2023 we read exactly the same article from The Wall Street Journal. In other words, without changing the context, the publication has produced a piece that will spend the next few days stirring the minds of our not particularly thoughtful journalists, who will talk about the prophesied Shahed-apocalypse," Kovalenko said.

For example, in November 2023, someone invented that Russia could produce up to a thousand Shahed-136 per month. Then the media, and instead of studying the issue in detail, only played along with the spread of this unverified and highly manipulative information.

From November 2023 to May 2024, Ukraine has never recorded a 1,000 Shahed-136 'kamikaze' drone strikes in a month. The maximum number of Shahed-136 attacks was recorded in 2024 in March with 603 'kamikaze' drones, and in the other months:

  • January - 334;
  • February - 356; 
  • April - 295;
  • May - 296 so far.

In addition, after Iran's large-scale combined strike against Israel, Russia's dependence on supplies from the Islamic Republic was clearly defined. Russia's use of Shahed-136 then sharply decreased, there were more long pauses of several days between raids, and only after the resumption of Iranian Air Force flights to Moscow, 'kamikaze' drone raids began to return to a systematic nature.

That is, Russia is still dependent on Iran for both finished products and components. And under such conditions, producing 6,000 per year is not a near-term prospect.

"I am not saying that Russia will never reach the figure of 6,000 Shahed-136 per year, I am saying that under the current conditions, it will not be able to produce 6,000 per year. And I also draw attention to the fact that The Wall Street Journal published an almost similar article a little less than a year and a half ago, which once again speaks of the need not only to double-check any information thrown into the space, but also at least to explain the basic reality of the current situation, so that no hype tales about a thousand Shahed-136 per month are born," Kovalenko summed up.

Such apocalyptic stories are useful for the Western audience to put pressure on our partners, because they move with the acceleration of a snail, but Ukrainians already have enough daily stresses to add more stories of such tailoring to their complicated life. 

Tags:
Read also:
  • News
2024, Sunday
16 June
19:15
New peace summit to be held in months - Zelenskyy
18:58
Canada allocates $15 million to return Ukrainian children from Russia 
18:18
Exclusive
Returning Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant to Ukrainian control, full prisoner exchange: Espreso correspondent on Peace Summit Communiqué
17:53
Peace Summit communiqué: which countries signed
17:30
OPINION
Russia must be disarmed and nuclear-free
16:55
Russia raises taxes to pay for war against Ukraine - British intelligence
16:18
UAE announces intention to conclude partnership agreement with Ukraine and resume trade
15:58
Palau, Ukraine establish diplomatic relations
15:39
Lithuania proposes special tribunal to try Russia
14:59
"Success loves silence": Azov confirms late April advance in Serebrianka Forest
14:42
Ukrainian forces hold defense against Russian attacks in Pokrovsk direction – Ukraine’s General Staff
13:55
OPINION
New European Parliament: Far-right triumph could still happen
13:19
Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, ports, POWS: Ukraine Peace Summit declaration outline
12:39
"I will have that settled": Trump criticizes U.S. aid to Ukraine
11:58
Exclusive
Ukrainian forces seize tactical initiative in Kharkiv region - 92nd Brigade's battalion commander
11:28
Russia doesn't want Its prisoners of war back – Ukraine’s Human Rights Commissioner
10:40
Russia loses 6 armored vehicles, 58 artillery systems and over 1,100 soldiers in one day in Ukraine
2024, Saturday
15 June
19:55
IOC admits 25 'neutral' athletes from Russia, Belarus to 2024 Olympics
19:30
Exclusive
Putin accelerates final decision to send Western aircraft to Ukraine with massive attacks - political analyst
19:07
Exclusive
Ukraine's partners' entry into war is matter of time - diplomat Bezsmertnyi
18:45
Russian troops encircled at aggregate plant in Vovchansk - media
18:26
Russia offers abducted Ukrainian children money for moving to any of its cities - media
18:04
Exclusive
Putin's task now is to hold on to some kind of 'honorable draw' - political scientist Piontkovsky
17:42
Ukraine to present peace plan to Russia after Swiss summit - Ukraine's top official
17:23
Ukraine has right to destroy legitimate military targets in Russia - Stoltenberg
17:11
Updated
Swedish fighter jets intercept Russian aircraft in sky, MFA to summon Russian diplomats
17:04
Russia retreats in Serebryansky forest, Klishchiiivka - DeepState
16:46
Exclusive
West stops responding to Putin's nuclear blackmail - political scientist Piontkovsky
16:25
Exclusive
Negotiations are tool of war for Putin - Ukrainian diplomat
16:07
First news from Peace Summit: US allocates $1.5 billion to Ukraine
15:49
Polish President Duda comments on Putin's crushing ceasefire demands
15:27
OPINION
Frightened Putin's conditions
15:04
White Angels group comes under Russian UAV attack during evacuation in Avdiivka sector
14:45
Ukraine's General Staff reports 31 firefights at front
14:22
Review
Putin's new manipulations, aid from Germany, deal with US. Weekly military results by Serhiy Zgurets
13:54
Exclusive
About 20% of Ukrainians ready to give up NATO membership for end to war
13:08
OPINION
Peace Summit: China's absence doesn't look smart
12:40
Russia drops about 3,500 guided bombs on civilian infrastructure per month - Zelenskyy
12:17
Exclusive
Everyone to be involved in national resistance: Legion of Freedom on Ukraine's goal to reach 1991 borders
11:55
Russian forces build new fortifications along Mariupol-Donetsk highway
More news