Putin will have to execute his generals so that they do not revolt - Feygin

Let's begin our analysis with the "revelations of the Kremlin elder." Although he is not really that old, the number of his war crimes is already approaching records. The key of his latest "revelations" is that he is shifting the so-called special military operation, that is, the phase he planned as a blitzkrieg, into the format of a long, protracted war.

Everyone is discussing an important topic of nuclear weapons and their use, "the power Russia has to strike back". All this rhetoric is caused by the attacks on Russian Engels and Dyagilevo military airfields. Engels more so, because 3 Tu-95 strategic bombers, part of the "nuclear triad", "Russia's shield", were damaged at its grounds. And now we see Ukraine can launch strikes even 700 km deep into Russia’s territory. So much damage caused by some Ukraine using some drones! What will be left of this so-called “nuclear shield”, once the Tomahawk missiles and other means, supplied by the West, arrive in Ukraine!? It seems that it is all a fake, a deception. There are no air defense means, no early warning systems, nothing like that. Perhaps all this has been redeployed to the theater of operations since they believe there is no danger in the deep rear, and therefore nothing is being done for defense. Putin had to respond to this mockery from Kyiv and from the Western media, to counter it somehow, so he continued his nuclear rhetoric, threatening to retaliate. Suddenly he now claims, although he has previously said similar things, that the war’s objective has always been to gain new territories. No one has doubted this, it is not new information, but now it has become “a revelation no one expected.”

It was an attempt to conquer the entire state. The Russian troops were rebuffed, and they retreated to where they could gain a foothold. This is what happened. And he somehow finds a way to bring Peter I into the equation. 

Russia, he says, now has the Sea of ​​Azov as an internal one. This is a way to partially justify that all these actions are not in vain because we have captured what Peter did not manage to. On the one hand, this is a justification aimed at the public opinion inside Russia, electoral opinion to be more precise. On the other hand, there is an attempt to determine the goals of the operation, because Russians everywhere are asking: what are you fighting for? So he answers “in order to capture new territories.”

“This is a treacherous trap, because if tomorrow you lose the Sea of ​​Azov and Melitopol, what will you say then?”

The goal was not achieved? Have the goals changed once again? "Defend Crimea at any cost" or "do not surrender even an inch of Donbas land" is a trap in fact, but Putin uses it because, apparently, it is necessary to justify the next waves of mobilization and the gigantic losses from the first wave of September 21, which will be unveiled anyway.

Everyone was actually very surprised that strategic airfields were attacked. This is the "nuclear triad": submarines - aviation - missile launchers. And then it became clear that it was necessary to urgently evacuate all this.

Military units understand everything, but there is actually nowhere for them to redeploy. They can relocate aircraft of the Tu type, strategic aviation somewhere beyond the Urals, but this does not solve the problem. Because there are no more airfields equipped with warehouses and appropriate equipment like in the Saratov region, near Engels, something new will have to be created in the depths of Russia. The main strategic and tactical stockpiles are located in the Ural Mountains. Everything has to be dragged there somewhere, it is a longer distance, beyond Moscow, Sverdlovsk, Yekaterinburg, Chelyabinsk. This is a problem. And what if Ukraine creates drones capable of flying 2,000 kilometers tomorrow? This is just a drone, not a ballistic missile that flies to any distance, which the Americans, Europeans and others have. That is, it turns out that even Ukraine, with its potential, in the conditions of war and damage to the military industry, has the ability to solve these problems. The same goes for the West, which has had all these means for a long time.

There is a precondition, which Biden, Blinken, Wendy Sherman, the Deputy Secretary of State, have mentioned literally yesterday, and it goes like this: Russia withdraws the troops and then it is welcomed to hold any negotiations on reparations, on peace, on security, on anything.

Strelkov, also known as Girkin, a war criminal, has disappeared from the front line with an unknown motivation. At the same time, Solovyov (or Kiselyov, I don't distinguish the varieties of this aromatic substance anymore) said recently that he allegedly advised Tsarev, a former regional official who left for the Russian Federation, not to get involved in clashes between the Russian special services. The moral of the story is not Tsarev, but the beginning of "showdowns" between the Russian special services inside Russia itself.

Strelkov says that in the trenches soldiers do not understand the goals of the "special operation" for which they die and fight, and the Kremlin deliberately makes its goals confusing in order to end this operation through negotiations at any moment, portraying it as a means of achieving these goals. As a result of the negotiations, if we settle on the status quo - great, if we leave some territory - still not bad. There is no clarity of goals, and this is a way of maneuvering for the Kremlin - this is what Strelkov says, among other things. Why he was ordered to leave or left on his own is a mystery. I think the agency ordered him to do so.

And why wasn’t he killed, simply speaking?

Maybe it's too early, he's still needed for something. Maybe we don't fully understand his purpose - but they understand and will use him for something. There is always a conflict going on in the special services, and since February 24, it has intensified. The main question is who is to blame?

Who should be held responsible, including from the ranks of the special services? Who is responsible for the fact that the war has been going on for 10 months in a row, and now it turns out that it will be "for stretching over a long time", "to exhaustion". And who is it? The FSB, the army, the GRU, the main intelligence department of the Ministry of Defense - who is it?

And there is no answer to this question. In Russia it is customary to decide like this: whoever is pointed at is the one who is guilty. There is no such sign yet, so the quarrels will continue in the future. Since the idea is not defined. They say: the Surovikin line, the tactics of striking civilian targets, plans to invade from the north. But we have already seen it and it did not give any results. They had already tried to enter Kyiv from the north and we know how it ended. Having personnel units, much better prepared, using a surprise factor and other elements present on February 24. And in the direction of Donbas - Bakhmut, Soledar, Avdiivka, Marinka - well, move forward, show what the "Surovikin line" is. Break into Bakhmut, and here - Sloviansk and Kramatorsk. And where is it? It has been going on for more than a week, a month. And the third thing is yes: you will damage critical infrastructure facilities, you will leave civilians without heat, light, communication, but that is not the case either. Yes, significant damage was caused, painful, but not complete destruction and not such that it does not allow the economic, humanitarian, military mechanism in Ukraine to continue to exist and function.

What was the goal? First of all, to exhaust the supply of missiles, spend money, turn your reputation into shit, because a terrorist state fires at the civilian population, kills civilians. And what did you get in return? Now there is a moral and political consensus for everyone: yes, this is a terrorist state, a state that sponsors terrorism, just not everyone has accepted it yet. However, the Netherlands adopted such a resolution after Poland.

American senators also noted the genocidal practices of the Russian Federation. It's not just that they are hitting infrastructure facilities so that there is no power, there will be no heat, people will die in hospitals, pensioners may freeze, and so on. These are all additional crimes. But they will go for it. They may be already looking for someone to blame. In addition to Putin, Gerasimov also seems to be “responsible for the crimes” here. But no, they wove a very cunning network, such a strange criminal combination that even Hitler could be envious: NSDAP, SA, and "horsemen of the apocalypse" on donkeys, etc.

They have everything. Wagner PMC in some ways resembles the SS, in some ways the military wing of the NSDAP, has its own Gestapo. They have everything. They recreate the National Socialist regime, National Socialism is just something else. There are more fascist elements here, with a right-leaning bias. All the same, the NSDAP was revolutionary in this, even had a whole revolutionary wing, the Strasser brothers headed it - it was called National-Bolshevik, but few people know about it. Otto Strasser described everything in detail in his book, the Strasser who survived and left for Canada even before the war.

So, coming back to Gerasimov, it seems that Putin is afraid to openly accuse the military generals. He is afraid to do that until he has created the necessary balance because the generals will have to be executed if anything starts, because what if they start to revolt. And he has forces - the FSO, a certain wing of the FSB, Wagner PMC and, perhaps, Kadyrov with his units. And who else?

A million cops. The number of cops in the Russian Federation has reached one million. It is an unreliable ally if a showdown begins, which could end, like the story of Makei, the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Belarus, in a mysterious death. And no one could even explain why Lukashenko's "communication channel" with the West and China died. It is clear who got him. The situation here can unroll in the same way.

Makei’s story will forever remain dark and unsolved, no one will ever be held accountable. It is clear who - Moscow - was interested that this channel of relations with the West was cut off. Makei really acted in Lukashenko’s interests.

As for Moscow, everything is always more complicated here: the yard is bigger and more complicated, and the forces are bigger. Lukashenko has it more modest. There are 5 main economic and state groups, Makei represented one of them. In Moscow, the main groups seem to have less - the "Ozero" cooperative, the mobilization group, Patrushev - Bortnikov, some part of the system (it has a smaller power resource, but it has a great influence) Kovalchuk, who is close to the FSO, etc. So it's a slightly different game here. Because with Lukashenko, there is still some mythical chance to replace him with Hrenin.

Volfovych, the secretary of the Council of Security, is called a Putin creation.

Yes, such a Kremlin system will be around for a while. If one of the groups in the Kremlin tries to remove itself from Putin’s influence, everything will fall apart. It will not be that it is easier for them to preserve it, i.e. for Putin to choose a successor. Is it possible to imagine this? Yes, in theory. He would have to personally appoint someone, as he did with Medvedev.

“To tell the truth, in the conditions in which the system is, taking into account the war and failures, it is difficult for me to imagine that Putin would do such a thing, and secondly, that it is possible in general. Who to appoint?”

The son of Patrushev, whom no one knows, 42 years old, a graduate of the FSB academy, an ordinary swindler, the Minister of Agriculture? What other outstanding features does he have? By what miracle will he become a figure for whom soldiers will die in the steppes of the Kherson region? For the sake of Patrushev and his family? It is difficult to imagine this.

Perhaps their system is more stable than the Belarusian one. But, on the other hand, it will suffer a bloodier collapse, according to a certain historical tradition and understanding of how it all happened in the past decades in Russia. The dispute will be between law enforcement agencies and the resources they have.

And what does Prigozhin represent in this shaky structure, for whom will he play or is he already playing?

He plays for Putin, but he has a lot of enemies. He openly confronts the Ministry of Defense, criticizes and says that they do not fight well. He confronts the government apparatus, for example with Beglov, who is the governor, accuses him in the State Council of owing him money. Beglov is a man of Yury Kovalchuk, who is close to Putin. A story about fugitive criminals, whether it is real or not, but it has also been spread by someone. In other words, there is a machine working against Prigozhin, and I think it is connected with the same Putin’s entourage.

“They don't want such a person, with a criminal background, who comes from some catering business in Putin's circle, to suddenly become a figure equal in strength to the FSB and the army. It's no joke, he has 37,000 fighters armed and ready.”

And to what extent he manages them - independently or simply performs some function on behalf of Putin himself, here one can only guess, but at the same time, it cannot be ruled out that at some point he will be removed. I'm even more likely to believe in such an ending. Although he is a player in this game, he gets too immersed and even enjoys what he does; this is further evidence that his common sense sometimes betrays him. There is no rational grain there - to send a sledgehammer smeared with "blood", i.e. paint, to Europe, to send animal eyes to embassies - it seems that he is responsible for this, it’s impossible to understand what was going through his mind. I would say that this does not look like a rational plan of action that has been approved by the authorities from above.

Just like Shakespeare wrote, “Hell is empty and all the devils are here." They came here, these infernal characters. So this story will spread. We in Ukraine, of course, look favorably at the return or escape of Wagner mercenaries back to Russia, especially if they have machine guns. That is, the people whom Prigozhin sent to Ukraine to kill us are starting to go back.

Everything is predicted. Excuse me, how can a criminal who is serving a prison sentence for a serious or particularly serious crime be given a weapon and told that now they can kill? An interesting story. A person with a delinquent consciousness wants nothing more than to be legal, authorized to return to such a way of life, and even theoretically get a reward for it. Yes, you can die, this is risky, and there is even a high probability that you will be deployed to never return. Having no escort, a criminal may act in unpredictable ways. Like that guy in the Rostov region who, I suspect, ran away with a weapon and opened fire. Of course, there are more such stories, they are concealed, they try to attribute them to some other criminal manifestations.

“The fact that Russia releases thousands of criminals, and maybe tens of thousands, from prisons, will cause murders of both the civilian population and the police; it is a logical unraveling of events, and more will come, it will not decrease - neither in quantity nor in quality.”

This is programmed, even if these people have not been delinquent, returning from the front line, they will already perceive the nature of the relationships in their environment differently, they will consider themselves, as Dostoevsky wrote, as "having the right". And criminals do not think otherwise at all.

The mass of the common people rushed into this army as mobilized, but it turned out that there were no boots, the guns were rusted, some keptars, no winter uniforms. There are no professional officers, the officers are mobilized. It turned out that the army is not ready to manage this many mobilized.

And here individual journalists begin to call on the public to help the barefooted soldier. I wanted to avoid this topic, it has already been brought up many times, but let's get into it anyway. Does Dozhd channel really not understand how they are perceived, and what they sometimes say? Or do they simply have such "firmware"?

The Dozhd and I don’t like each other. They do not like me and have never liked me, just like Ekho of Moscow, Novaya Gazeta - I have never been published by these publications that called themselves independent but have never been independent, I can tell their story, but it will not change anything. In Russia, they behaved the same way. Now everyone is surprised to discover that they really are...

Some kind of Khakamada syndrome. Those, aware that Khakamada was a puppet of the Kremlin's "liberal" money, will understand the reference.

Also, maybe someone still likes the image of Sobchak, she also worked at the Dozhd channel, by the way. It's all just like that. We call it "semi-pokerness", it is when, depending on the situation, you observe the rules of the game and keep a certain distance from radical, frank, direct, principled stances, so as not to attract unnecessary attention. It is gradually learned, even an ironic way of talking develops in this process, which arose to prominence in the 2010s. No one knows, but in Russia, it was customary to talk about serious topics - protest, persecution of the opposition, lack of freedom - through "he-he". They always come with some kind of pronunciation: as if we are a white bone here - journalists are somewhat above the fray. Yes, of course, they don't like Putin, they have never liked him, because of what to like, but in general, even those who are against him are some kind of fringe, devils.

"Demschizo", as they called it.

Yes, that's practically their term. The second name by which they have always defined protest. I remember it very well because I was there at that time.  And then they lived through that, Kremlin's demands changed; let's be frank, the Echo of Moscow belongs to Gazprom-media. There is nothing to hide, Dozhd is the media of Medvedev's second term, Timakov and Sindeev created this media, and put in the corresponding money and assistance. No, of course, they did a great job, many decent people worked for both media, but the fact remains true. I'm not talking about Novaya Gazeta, which was financed by the Gorbachev Foundation, Lebedev, a notorious banker and former KGB major, and Adonyev, Chemezov's businessman. Chemezov seriously helped Novaya Gazeta, some say that he also helped Dozhd. This is already a relationship: money is a relationship. And so they come to the West and believe that all issues are solved in the same way: by relations.  And here, it turns out, there are laws! According to Latvian law, this license obliges you to make voiceovers on cable networks in the Latvian language. And why, they say, I published the decision in Russian on my Telegram channel, but no one reads it. Have you noticed that they continue to write the "I am also a foreign agent" notice? You are a Latvian media now, you have a license in Latvia, why are you still giving that "disclaimer"? Forget Russia and its foreign agents; you are far away from there! This is logical, you are now abroad. If you are in Russia, you can be punished for this, I have already been fined twice, and I am waiting for the criminal record for not complying with this status of a foreign agent according to their law. I don't care. I will not resort to stronger terms on air. Why don't they do that? This is a natural question: why do they have to follow these crazy Russian laws abroad? I understand when someone has some problems, personal, material, with relatives; people are afraid and put this disclaimer.

But it cannot be so, especially when a war is on. This is not a theoretical or allegorical story; we are killed every day.

War leaves only two trenches - this one or this one, you go there or you go here. And you cannot run between them in zigzags. But they continue to run, as if nothing is happening, as if this is just a headline, a topic for another broadcast. But the problem is that they don't call themselves opposition, they say "independent", Echo of Moscow too.  We are just media, "neither yours nor ours", we are "impartial". Okay. But then, sorry, follow the rules of the country that gave you shelter. It is logical. Do it so as not to annoy the regulators and the rest.