'Caribbean syndrome'. West launches new thriller for Kremlin

Euro-Atlanticists are implementing a new algorithm for ending the war in Ukraine. Putin has "smelled the blood" and sees no point in any negotiations, so the partners are trying to make him realize that the only way to get out of the Ukrainian military quagmire is to simply end the war and withdraw the troops.

The campaign began two weeks ago, with many politicians and analysts in the West speaking in unison about Putin's need to be put in his place and the civilized world not letting Ukraine lose. The same thesis was voiced by politicians of the highest caliber like Scholz and experts of the caliber of the former commander of the US grouping in Europe, Ben Hodges. 

Specifics did not hesitate. British Foreign Secretary David Cameron said that Ukraine has the right to use British weapons on Russian territory. And Macron "did not rule out" sending troops to Ukraine if Russia breaks through the front line and Kyiv makes such a request.

"If Russia decides to go further, we will in any case have to ask ourselves the question of sending troops, because Russia is a force of regional destabilization" and "a threat to the security of Europeans." There is a clear strategic goal: Russia cannot win in Ukraine... otherwise there will be no security in Europe," Macron.

US Democrats supported the information relay: although they are not sending troops to Ukraine yet, they are ready to help with money as long as necessary, because otherwise Americans will have to fight.   

"We cannot let Ukraine fall, otherwise there is a high probability that the United States will have to intervene in the conflict - not just with our money, but with our military," Democratic Congressman Hakeem Jeffries.

The Russians reacted predictably, imitating the rhetoric of the 1962 Caribbean crisis by allegedly launching nuclear exercises using tactical nuclear weapons. 

They will "train" on the territory of the Southern Military District, which is responsible for the occupation of eastern Ukraine: propaganda publics hint that they will attack logistics hubs, command and control infrastructure, as well as "the gateways of bunker infrastructure in the Carpathians, where F-16s are expected to be deployed."

"Sending Western troops to the territory of Ukraine will lead to their countries' direct involvement in the war, and we will have to respond to that. And, unfortunately, not on the territory of Ukraine," - former Russian President, state alcoholic Medvedev.

The most difficult question is how far the United States and the EU are willing to go to force Putin to end the war. It is important to understand this in case the new strategy of "forcing the Kremlin to end the war" does not work.

Raising the degree of international tension is obviously only one of the scenarios for putting pressure on the Kremlin, and it is a multi-vector one: Macron has declared his readiness to send troops if the frontline fails, while La Repubblica names other reasons for the deployment of a Western contingent to Ukraine: for example, the official entry into the war of Belarus or even the use of its territory (which is likely in the event of an attack on Kyiv).

At the same time, the bunker man has been prepared not only whips but also cookies: The G7 is considering a hypothetical exchange of frozen Russian assets for the Kremlin's giving up the seized Ukrainian territories, as the Financial Times reported.

The best ending for this story would be a quote from Ben Hodges: "Ukraine's victory is possible if the United States and Europe have a clear position, use F-16s effectively, and ignore the Kremlin's nuclear threats and sometimes Washington's advice. We are restraining ourselves".

We will cross the rubicon of war when the United States and Germany finally say together that "it is in our interest that Ukraine defeats Russia," that is, when there is a defined goal of this campaign, and then decisions will be made much more efficiently and quickly.

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About the author. Orest Sohar, journalist, editor-in-chief of Obozrevatel

The editorial board does not always share the opinions expressed by blog authors.