Russia's November 17 attack exposes cracks in Ukraine's air defense

Military and political observer Oleksandr Kovalenko shared his analysis on Russia's November 17 attack, published by Obozrevatel.

On the night of November 17, Russian forces launched a combined attack on Ukraine, employing drones and a wide range of missiles. This assault, though anticipated, appeared more as an impulsive display of power than a calculated military action.

Over 210 missiles and drones were used, with Ukraine intercepting 102 of 120 missiles and 42 of 90 drones. The strikes were synchronized, with various missile types—such as Kh-101/555, Kalibr, Kinzhal, and Zircon—targeting Ukraine simultaneously. Drone attacks lasted over ten hours, while missile strikes continued for just over two.

The operation targeted Ukraine's energy infrastructure, following a familiar strategy used by Russian forces. Despite preparations, the timing—amid relatively mild weather—suggests an irrational approach, driven more by political motives than practical goals.

Analysts suggest the attack was a symbolic gesture directed at Donald Trump, reflecting Putin’s intention to intimidate and influence the incoming U.S. administration. This move highlights Russia's reliance on terror as a negotiation tool rather than logical resource allocation.

Ukraine’s ongoing vulnerability lies in insufficient air defense systems, especially against advanced missiles like Kh-47M2 and 9M723, which are effective in areas lacking Western systems such as Patriot or SAMP/T. Despite international support, the scale of aid remains inadequate to protect all regions.

November 17 presented one of the greatest challenges for Ukraine’s air defenses since the start of the war, underscoring the urgent need for enhanced multi-layered air defense systems to mitigate future threats.