Riots in Abkhazia: what does this mean for Ukraine?
The Abkhazia parliament unexpectedly blocked the adoption of a law on Russian investments in the "republic." This could be directly related to Ukraine
1. The investment law could have altered the financial flows in Abkhazia, potentially impacting former Putin aide Surkov and ex-Krasnodar governor Tkachev. Interestingly, Adgur Ardzinba, who is coordinating the opposition's actions, has a relative who worked in Surkov's Kremlin team a few years ago.
Read also: Protests erupt in unrecognized Abkhazia over investment deal with Moscow
2. Beyond economic aspects, the political implications are also noteworthy: this may be part of a more complex strategy by Surkov, who might aim to offer a swift and effective resolution to the Abkhazia issue in exchange for a return to the Kremlin. Moreover, he appears eager to undermine Kozak, especially since Kozak has been nearly invisible over the past three years despite retaining his position.
3. “The solitaire, in my opinion, is too complicated, but Surkov started this game based on the fact that Kozak lost the elections in Moldova, failed to push Georgia, and has no success on the Ukrainian front.”
So, we will be rooting for both teams.
About the author. Vadym Denysenko, political scientist.
The editors don't always share the opinions expressed by the blog authors.
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