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To attack NATO, Russia must withdraw up to 400,000 troops from Ukraine - Estonian commander

24 January, 2024 Wednesday
18:28

The Commander of the Estonian Defense Forces, Martin Herem, named four factors that must coincide for Russia to attack NATO. First of all, Russia must withdraw 300-400 thousand troops from Ukraine

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He said this in an interview with ETV.

"I think that many Western allies used to only think about a possible Russian attack on their countries, but now they consider it more likely because Russia is not going to slow down in Ukraine," the Estonian general said.

According to him, four factors need to come together for Russia to be able to carry out an attack on the Alliance. The first factor is the withdrawal of the majority of Russian forces from Ukraine - 300-400 thousand soldiers.

The second factor, according to the Estonian army commander, is a certain amount of time for recovery or adaptation. 

"Even if it is restored in a year, even if Ukraine comes out of the war, something significant must happen in the world - a superpandemic, a complete economic collapse, a war in Taiwan, in the Balkans. In this case, we have to be very vigilant," the Estonian officer explained the third factor.

The fourth factor for a Russian attack on NATO, according to Harem, is the level of the Alliance's preparation. The military officer emphasized that NATO troops should be preparing for a potential confrontation.  

"The better prepared we are, the less likely Russia is to try to do this. But if we don't prepare for it and don't talk about it, it can be expected," the Estonian general emphasized.

  • The day before, Swedish Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces Micael Bydén, and Minister of Civil Defense Carl-Oskar Bohlin said that all Swedish citizens should be prepared for war.
  • In addition, Commander-in-Chief of the Norwegian Armed Forces Eirik Kristoffersen called on NATO countries to expand their military capabilities to be ready for a confrontation with Russia.
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