Russian elites should remove Putin

The goal of which is a new colonization of the post-Soviet space and the return of Kremlin hegemony over all former Soviet satellites in Eastern Europe. Therefore, it is impossible for Ukraine to achieve peace with Moscow through diplomacy. Peace with the Russian Federation is possible only after its final defeat in Ukraine and Putin's removal from power. All other options are utopian and only avert the possibility of a new Russian aggression in Ukraine if Kyiv suddenly agreed to the Kremlin's proposal for a "truce" on Russia's terms.

Without the full withdrawal of Russian troops and the return of all the lands occupied by the aggressor to Ukraine's control, there is no chance of achieving peace through negotiations with Russia. Thus, the Russian-Ukrainian war may continue until the Ukrainian army drives Moscow's terrorist troops behind Russia's borders. Putin is satisfied with another option, in which the territory of Ukraine turns into another Korea, and the Russian Federation will constantly threaten from the occupied territories to realize its claims to the whole of Ukraine.

“Without the full withdrawal of Russian troops and the return of all the lands occupied by the aggressor to Ukraine's control, there is no chance of achieving peace through negotiations with Russia”

As long as the Russian elites allow Putin to pursue his criminal policy of attempting to seize other people's lands, which is slowly destroying Russia itself, no compromise with Moscow is realistic. Russia's dictator for life wants the complete subjugation of Ukraine and the shift of all its territories under the control of the Russian Federation. Peace for Putin means the complete destruction of Ukraine as a country and its absorption by Russia. He had these goals at the beginning of the large-scale war on February 24, 2022, and he has not abandoned them to this day.

However, Putin's threats to Ukraine and other states with nuclear weapons are not a sign of strength and greatness, as it seems to the Kremlin. On the contrary, it is a sign of weakness. Because constantly threatening its neighbors with nuclear weapons means that Putin's regime is afraid of responsibility for all the crimes it has committed in Ukraine and is not confident in itself.

“Constantly threatening its neighbors with nuclear weapons means that Putin's regime is afraid of responsibility for all the crimes it has committed in Ukraine and is not confident in itself”

If we recall history, after the defeat of Germany or Japan, no peace talks were held with them at all, they simply surrendered. The same should happen with Russia. It is naïve to think that Moscow will adhere to any peace agreement. They signed a treaty that recognized Ukraine's 1991 borders, but they still invaded twice - in 2014 and 2022.

Therefore, the only question for negotiations with the Russian elites in the current situation is how soon the Russian Federation will withdraw its troops from the territory of Ukraine and hand Putin over to the International Criminal Court in The Hague. Moscow can easily end the war, all that is needed is for Russia to completely withdraw its troops from Ukraine (including Crimea and Donbas), and to pay the USD 700 billion needed to rebuild the Ukrainian infrastructure they destroyed, and USD 300 billion in reparations to all families affected by the war.

If the Russian establishment wants to survive and partially preserve its wealth, it will have no choice but to repeat what Serbia did when it extradited Slobodan Milosevic to the criminal court in The Hague. It is clear that this will be a very difficult decision for them, but it is currently the only realistic way for those who want the new Russia to have a chance for renewal. If they fail to do so, or if they continue to delay this overdue and obvious decision, then many will also have to make the journey to The Hague with Putin. Russia's ruling elites should start competing with each other for the right to receive political indulgences and thus somehow separate themselves from the war crimes of the Putin regime.

“If the Russian establishment wants to survive and partially preserve its wealth, it will have no choice but to repeat what Serbia did when it extradited Slobodan Milosevic to the criminal court in The Hague”

After the International Criminal Court in The Hague issued an arrest warrant for Putin, the clock started ticking. And then no excuses like what I could have done in this situation will be accepted from anyone. The question is very specific: if you want to get an indulgence, you have to act, and not wait for the tyrant to give up power. He will never do it voluntarily. It is now very important that the arrest warrant for Putin, the world's number one terrorist, be the starting point from which the international community must begin to return to the rules of civilization, which even the United Nations cannot guarantee today.

The despot acted so recklessly brazenly that he has left himself no escape route. If, say, the war were to end in the coming weeks, he would still not be able to avoid the internal political problems in Russia that he has created with his own hands. Now he has no choice. Either he will hold on to his power to the last, or his entourage will eliminate him in one way or another. There is no intermediate solution here.

“The question is very specific: if you want to get an indulgence, you have to act, and not wait for the tyrant to give up power. He will never do it voluntarily”

All of Putin's insane international policies and his war in Ukraine have led to the opposite result from what he had hoped for. Now Russia is a rogue state, and Putin is a war criminal. And if Putin's terrorist regime does not give up on Ukraine, the Russian Federation must be destroyed. Russia must become an example of how the world justice system responds to crimes against humanity. However, even if Putin could be arrested and tried in an international court, this could only be a temporary solution to achieve a short-term peace with a criminal nation that, once recovered, would continue its atrocities again, as it has done so many times before. As history teaches us, we should not repeat the mistakes that were made in the past. Russia is not capable of transforming into a civilized state. All subsequent events after the collapse of the USSR clearly prove this.

The dictator is leading Russia to complete defeat. This defeat may be less tragic if the Kremlin suddenly finds its own Brutus, and this may be a person who is part of the dictator's inner circle and has direct access to his "body."

However, it is not entirely correct to compare the flabby, shabby and narcissistic Putin with Julius Caesar. Caesar was one of the best generals in history and extremely popular among ordinary people, the middle class, and wealthy citizens. His vulnerability was that he tried to destroy the "oligarchs" of the time and redistribute their wealth. At the same time, he was taking away their power and keeping society in line. He was euphoric from winning the civil war, and it was a great way to eliminate all rivals, ensuring that no one else would have any real power. Julius Caesar was assassinated by the senators of the time (who had huge wealth) who were afraid that at any moment he could remove them from power and take their assets. At the time, Rome had just gone through a civil war, and when they lost, they destroyed it.

“Putin is doing the opposite: he is bringing oligarchs closer to weaken those in power who could try to overthrow him from the presidency. And in order for him to face his Brutus, whether it's Dmitry Medvedev, Sergei Sobyanin, or someone else, objective preconditions must be ripe for this. Then there could be a large-scale civil war, which, like in Rome, could take quite long”

Putin is doing the opposite: he is bringing oligarchs closer to weaken those in power who could try to overthrow him from the presidency. And in order for him to face his Brutus, whether it's Dmitry Medvedev, Sergei Sobyanin, or someone else, objective preconditions must be ripe for this. Then there could be a large-scale civil war, which, like in Rome, could take quite long.

The recent terrorist attack in St. Petersburg shows that the Russian Federation is on the verge of a wave of similar terrorist acts in the near future. This will lead to internal strife between Russian elites and become a prologue to civil war. The paradox of the situation is that, unlike the events in Russia a century ago, a civil war could start even before Putin's troops are withdrawn from Ukraine. And when they return home, some of them will side with the opponents of the Putin regime in the civil confrontation in the Russian Federation.

Now the situation in Russia has begun to unravel. In recent years, the Putin regime has so tightly blocked all the social valves for expressing popular discontent that a powerful explosion can now occur at any time. In fact, we can already talk about the approaching civil war in Russia. Clashes between Wagner mercenaries and the military are already taking place, and then there will be a confrontation between the security forces and the army leadership, who will not want to take responsibility for losing the war. The main intrigue is that the stability of Putin's power can crack at any moment, and most importantly, where no one expects it.

“Now the situation in Russia has begun to unravel. In recent years, the Putin regime has so tightly blocked all the social valves for expressing popular discontent that a powerful explosion can now occur at any time”

He knows very well that he has already committed so many war crimes and murders that his days are numbered. But his ego, machismo, and KGB training constantly push him to make losing decisions, which he always thinks are the only right ones. The danger is that the despot has created a situation in which ending the war not on his terms would mean not only the loss of power, but also his liquidation. To end the Russian-Ukrainian war, Putin must be removed from power.

It won't be long before Putin's war in Ukraine will return to Russia as a civil war boomerang. And it can be assumed that if Putin is not eliminated now, the civil confrontation in the Russian Federation will eventually cause a lot of destruction. The only difference is that after our victory, the civilized world will help rebuild Ukraine. And who will help Russia, which has voluntarily become a global pariah?

The barbaric war to destroy the Ukrainian people will affect the historical fate of Russia or those territorial entities that will remain of it for decades. Tens of millions of Russians will flee their country, the degraded armed forces will remain incapable of combat for a long time, and two or three generations to come will be traumatized by the war and its consequences.

In reality, Putin deserves a far worse fate than a quick death at the hands of Russia's Brutus, but for now, the most important thing is to knock him down before his finger on the nuclear trigger really twitches.

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About the author. Viktor Kaspruk, journalist.

The editorial staff do not always share the opinions expressed by the blog authors.