Russia gives up on Syria, but can destroy Georgia

This means Russia will undoubtedly lose the trust of its allies in the revived Axis of Evil. It also signifies that the Kremlin's terrorists will be desperate to reclaim their tarnished reputation.

Attacks from the “sources” of Russian propaganda targeting Turkey — who played a role in Assad's overthrow — will amount to nothing more than rhetoric: it's too scary to act otherwise. As a result, Putin will seek opportunities for a swift result.

In Ukraine, he is unlikely to achieve anything “heroic” — his forces are limited. However, Ukraine’s military command must be prepared for a potential intensification of Russian offensives in the coming two months.

But right now, I am particularly concerned about Georgia. First, Moscow would eagerly create problems along the border with Turkey. Second, Russia is no stranger to fabricating a casus belli. Third, the current Georgian government has paved the way for the “Russian world” through fraud and repression, which always arrives with a dirty army boot.

Therefore, Western democracies, which have logically distanced themselves from the current Georgian government, should not forget about the Georgian people, who are now fighting to secure their place in the community of democracies. The situation remains highly fragile, and a wounded Kremlin monster is most dangerous when it is not fully vanquished.

Source

About the author. Volodymyr Ariev, Member of the Ukrainian Parliament

The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by the blog authors.