Espreso. Global
OPINION

Are our partners in cahoots with Putin?

22 April, 2024 Monday
12:00

I'm not a fan of conspiracy theories. Instead, I advocate for the idea that "you shouldn't attribute common f**k ups to a global conspiracy"

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However, it's challenging to interpret the actions of our "partners" amidst current events as anything other than a "conspiracy."

  • First, the lack of support for us whets Putin's appetite and his willingness to fight as long as he can. This is contrary to the intention to persuade him to peace, because we cannot be defeated.
  • Second, the lack of this support undermines our strategic capabilities. We are losing our most valuable asset – our people. Without personnel, the weapons provided to us become ineffective. This harms the prospect of our victory and Putin's defeat.
  • Thirdly, the lack of support now devalues all the assistance we have already received worth billions of dollars. It also undermines confidence in Western weapons and security guarantees.

All of this is too serious for the West to suddenly start playing the fool. They struggle to make decisions in Congress, secure funding for ammunition, or provide adequate air defense. Yet, suddenly, everyone is discussing peace initiatives while the aggressors remain entrenched in occupied territories... Therefore, I simply have no other explanation than certain backroom agreements.

If such agreements exist, they would likely involve Russians telling our partners that upon reaching the border of the Donetsk region, they will declare an end to the "special military operation" and express readiness for negotiations. This narrative suits our partners, who no longer believe in achieving a total victory over Putin. Consequently, a Korean-style scenario, in which oil prices remain stable and there is no need to allocate billions to Ukraine for the war, appears to be a viable option for de-escalation.

I don't know if this is true, but it's undeniable that our partners' behavior has significantly shifted compared to six months ago. Russia has gained an unprecedented advantage in time, while we have endured unparalleled losses in terms of personnel, resources, and belief in victory…

Source

About the author. Victor Andrusiv, political and public figure, analyst and publicist.

The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by the blog authors.

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