A ‘second front’ may open in Middle East 

US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said at a meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu that the United States will not allow Iran to have nuclear weapons, it is "a threat not only to Israel but to the whole world." In response, Tehran threatened Azerbaijan, promising to turn Karabakh into a second Syria. So, let me tell you how both facts are connected and whether we should expect another war.

Tehran has signed an agreement with Moscow to supply Iran with enriched uranium. According to the IAEA, the modern descendants of the Persians have already accumulated enough enriched uranium for their nuclear program, US and Israeli officials think.

"Iran is capable of producing a nuclear bomb in 12 days," said Pentagon spokesman Colin Kahl. This was said in early March, so, theoretically, time has already run out.

“A 'terrible nuclear war' will begin if the world does not prevent Tehran from obtaining nuclear weapons... We need to strengthen the aggressive approach to Iran's actions in the Middle East region," Prime Minister Netanyahu said. In fact, this is a demonstration of readiness for immediate military therapy for Khamenei's government”

"A 'terrible nuclear war' will begin if the world does not prevent Tehran from obtaining nuclear weapons... It is necessary to reinforce the aggressive approach to Iran's actions in the Middle East region," Prime Minister Netanyahu said. In fact, this is a demonstration of readiness for immediate military therapy for Khamenei's government.

Iran's response is typical: Turkish media write that Tehran has declared Yerevan a "brother" and plans to turn Nagorno-Karabakh into a second Syria. To this end, it is planned to deploy 4,000 militants there by May 2023. In fact, this is a direct blow to Azerbaijan: the international community recognizes Nagorno-Karabakh as the sovereign territory of Azerbaijan, but since the early 1990s, Baku has not controlled most of the region. Initially, Armenians were supported by the Russian "peacekeeping contingent," but after the outbreak of Russia's war against Ukraine, Baku began to reclaim its territory.

The United States, Israel, Iran... Well, what does Azerbaijan have to do with it? Let me explain. To use the language of the "gloomy horse" Lavrov, Israel, and Turkey (longtime enemies of the Khamenei government) have long been "pumping" their neighbour with weapons. For example, from 2016 to 2020, Jerusalem supplied Baku with 69% of all weapons. Azerbaijan is the only country to which Israel has sold its famous Iron Dome missile defense system. Now the icing on the cake: the January drone attack on Iranian military facilities was allegedly carried out from an Israeli military base in Azerbaijan. There are even rumours that local authorities have allowed the Israeli military to use their air bases.

“Israel may be indecisive, but when it comes to a trigger like nuclear weapons, even the pro-Russian Netanyahu must take a firm stance. This means that the Middle East will be hot in the near future. At the same time, it depends on the persistence and skill of the Israeli government what kind of “disciplining” against Tehran will be taken”

Israel may be indecisive, but when it comes to a trigger like nuclear weapons, even the pro-Russian Netanyahu must take a firm stance. This means that the Middle East will be hot in the near future. At the same time, it depends on the persistence and skill of the Israeli government what kind of "disciplining" against Tehran will  be taken.

Either it will be a surgical operation, like the January drone attack on important Iranian military targets.

Or Netanyahu will complain, and run off to Moscow for a dose of soothing Chinese tea until he waits for some sneak attack from Tehran. It won't necessarily be an attack on Karabakh, but it will certainly be something creative.

And what's in it for us?

The more adventures a graduate of Moscow's Patrice Lumumba University of Peoples' Friendship, and now the spiritual and political leader of Iran, Ali Hosseini Khamenei, has - the less he will help Putin with weapons.

Two more states that have been sitting on the sidelines of Russia's war against Ukraine will now be unwittingly drawn into it. After all, it is difficult to remain a neutral party to the "conflict" by attacking the Fuhrer's closest partner in the pariah club.

And North Korea may well correctly decipher the signal that it may be next in line for disciplining.

Source

About the author. Orest Sohar, journalist, editor-in-chief of Obozrevatel

The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by blog authors.