Espreso. Global

Why Russia’s attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure won’t help it win war

24 June, 2024 Monday
13:59

Russia is now launching several raids per month, totaling hundreds of tons, attempting to sabotage Ukraine’s energy system in order to disrupt power supply

client/title.list_title

Military analyst Kyrylo Danylchenko shared his opinions regarding Russian attacks’ impact on his Facebook page.

According to the military analyst, the United States Department of Defense, despite being a significant energy consumer, relies on only a 1% fraction of the country's overall energy production. Much of this consumption is for non-critical purposes like air conditioning and food storage. Moreover, the U.S. military is highly decentralized, equipped with a robust network of generators, solar panels, and autonomous systems that can operate independently of the grid for extended periods. This capability dates back to World War II, where even large bases maintained self-sufficiency in energy.

Historical precedent further underscores the challenges of targeting energy infrastructure alone. During World War II, strategic bombing of power systems in Germany and Japan was extensive, yet the intended impacts on production and morale were often mitigated by backup systems and industrial resilience.

The US military planned to strike 50 major power stations of the Third Reich to disable 40% of its generation capacity.

Additionally, targets included elements of civilian morale, such as textile industries (to create shortages of warm clothing and wool products), food warehouses (freezing food supplies), and transportation, including river transport.

They did not achieve their goals - the factories stopped working only when their gates were knocked down by tanks.

Even as Allied bombings intensified in 1944, including the devastating raids by the US and USSR which claimed hundreds of thousands of lives, German production managed to persist and even increase in some areas. The blackout measures and resource limitations imposed by the bombings did strain the population and factories, but they did not cripple the industrial output entirely.

Ultimately, it was the combined effect of physical occupation and sustained pressure on transportation networks that proved decisive in weakening Germany's industrial capacity. 

Currently, despite sporadic bombing raids by Russia, totaling a relatively small amount, Ukraine has adapted its industrial strategy to decentralize production and fortify critical infrastructure. This strategy includes leveraging international support for the defense sector, such as investments from Denmark, the United States, and Canada, aimed at bolstering local production capabilities. This reindustrialization effort not only enhances Ukraine's military self-sufficiency but also mitigates the impact of any potential energy disruptions.

Moreover, Ukraine has shown resilience in restoring damaged generation capacity, launching new facilities, and increasing imports from Europe despite electricity shortages. This capability, coupled with proactive measures like Ukrainian drone attacks on oil depots and refineries, illustrates the country's ability to defend its energy infrastructure and maintain operational effectiveness, even in the face of ongoing conflict.

“The winter will be unpleasant and we need to prepare for it, especially in the cities near the front line, but we will continue to increase production. There comes a stage in the war when it will be more important than the morale of the population,” the analyst concludes.

Tags:
Read also:
  • News
2024, Wednesday
24 July
18:10
Rheinmetall receives order from Ukraine to build ammunition plant
17:53
Slovak president threatens Ukraine over halted Russian oil transit
17:34
OPINION
Are Russians in Crimea preparing for a blockade?
17:15
Updated
Russia strikes Kharkiv, Lozova, killing civilian
16:53
Ukrainian partisans record arrival of old Russian military equipment in occupied Yevpatoria
16:33
UK intelligence evaluates impact of Ukraine's July 7 strike on Russian ammo depots
16:15
Review
Why does Ukraine need more Western weapons and what role do Tomahawks play
15:52
Man sentenced to 18 years for sending explosives to Ukrainian embassy in Spain
15:51
Updated
Russia strikes Ukraine's Kharkiv 5 times in one day, injuring 6 civilians
15:29
EU ambassadors approve €4.2bn tranche for Ukraine under Ukraine Facility
14:55
OPINION
Russia's 2024 combat aircraft production: can it make up for losses?
14:48
Updated
Car carrying Russia's military officer blown up in Moscow
14:31
Ukraine's FM Kuleba meets Chinese counterpart to discuss peace in Russia-Ukraine war
14:10
"It's realistic": Ukraine's top general says Ukraine has plan to reclaim Crimea
13:53
Pro-Russian parties gain key positions in Montenegro's new government
13:49
Exclusive
July 17-24 live war map: Will Biden let Russian troops take over New York?
13:30
Russia uses dead Ukrainian soldiers for transplantation, relatives of POWs suggest
13:12
July forest fires in Russian-occupied Luhansk region cause UAH 36.5 billion in damage
12:53
Ukraine's intelligence launches massive cyber attack on Russian banking system
12:32
Russia plans to increase number of troops in Ukraine to 690,000 - Ukraine’s top general
11:53
Air alert declared in Romania due to Russian attack on Ukraine, locals hear explosions
11:32
Russia tries to surround Ukrainian soldiers near Prohres, no order to withdraw - DeepState
11:12
Russia storms Ukrainian positions in 11 directions, Ukraine's forces repel 41 attacks near Pokrovsk
10:53
Review
Impressive attack on Rostov air base, body armor production competition in Ukraine. Serhiy Zgurets’ column
10:11
Russia attacks Ukraine with Shahed UAVs, causing casualties in Kharkiv, Odesa regions
09:59
France arrests Russian plotting destabilization during 2024 Olympics
09:35
Russia loses aircraft, 1,140 soldiers, 14 tanks in one day of war in Ukraine
2024, Tuesday
23 July
21:10
Review
Victorious news of 881st day of war: Ukrainian forces destroy UAV control station in south, down Russian Su-25 in Donetsk region
20:43
How many combat aircraft will Russia make in 2024 and will it compensate for losses
20:14
Exclusive
Defense Express explains why Crimea ferry was chosen as target for attack
19:50
Updated
Russian troops attack foster family home in Dnipropetrovsk region, injuring three children
19:21
Number of Russian troops in Zaporizhzhia region increases to 90,000 in three weeks
18:54
First visit of foreign minister to China since 2012: Kuleba tells what he will talk about in Beijing
18:25
Hungary, Slovakia initiate European Commission committee meeting due to Ukraine's ban on Lukoil's oil transit
17:57
Ukraine secures $3.9 billion grant from US: breakdown
17:30
European leaders look like fools because they followed Biden into war with Russia: Manipulation of world media for July 23
16:57
OPINION
Republicans will resist Biden's withdrawal
16:30
Russia attacks Kherson with drone, wounding civilian man
16:11
Exclusive
World must understand that war with Russia is matter of international law - publicist Riabchuk
15:49
Exclusive
Ukrainians build and donate FPV drones to military from home
More news