Russia is looking for a path to peace without Putin
It seems that after NATO's hints, the Kremlin has really begun to test the waters to see if “negotiations are really possible, if not with Putin?”
Lukashenko was once again used as an "ambassador of peace" - a repeater of the Kremlin's insistent hints for negotiations.
Only this time, they began to convince us that it was Zelenskyy who did not want to negotiate and was sending the military to death , but the Ukrainian military themselves categorically disagreed with the president's position and did not want to fight, and would gladly go to peace talks.
Although the beginning of the statement - Lukashenko publicly admitting that Russia might not win - is also significant. You don't say that when everything is perfect and you have a dominant advantage on the battlefield - in personnel (300,000, as we know) and in ammunition. And despite everything, missiles for destroying civilian infrastructure continue to be produced, although in minimal quantities (but they have begun to be brought in from Iran). But against this background, it is still a recognition of the possibility of defeat.
"Miracles can happen that Russia will not win. ...There is always someone to talk to about peace. The war has to be stopped - the most talented convinced military men in Ukraine think so. So you will see: we and Russians will have to negotiate with the Ukrainian military anyway. And the military will be able to come to agreement. I'll tell you as follows: you can negotiate the unbelievable with Russia. But we have to take steps in that direction. And you don't have to put preconditions before you sit down at the negotiating table.
It seems that this time Lukashenko was sent not so much by Putin as by someone else, perhaps some representatives of the military. Or Putin together with the military.
In general, this is an interesting statement. It seems that this time Lukashenko was sent not so much by Putin as by someone else, perhaps some representatives of the military. Or Putin together with the military. "The military will be able to come to an agreement" refers not only to the Ukrainian side, but also to the Russian side. Where does Putin fit into this formula?
This is similar to the previous, still very approximate answer to the Europeans and Americans with their already direct instructions: "Negotiations are possible, but not with Putin." As if the most obvious recipe is to dispose of Putin by any means and with any legend, and then negotiate.
But here, perhaps, they are trying to hint at a compromise: "What if Putin stays, but the negotiations are conducted by the Russian military and the surrender is made? Is it possible?" Then this shows that Putin has already accepted defeat and is looking for ways to stay alive, with funds and even, perhaps, with some share of power.
Source.
About the author. Oleksiy Holobutskyi, political scientist
The editorial board does not always share the opinions expressed by the authors of the blogs.
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