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Military expert Grant predicts how long Russia's attack on Ukraine can last

21 October, 2023 Saturday
20:15
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Retired British Army Colonel, military expert Glen Grant believes that the Ukrainian Defence Forces need a breakthrough on the front line

He said this in the Studio West with Antin Borkovskyi program on the Espreso TV channel.

"They would just keep doing what they're doing because in their minds they're winning. Russians are used to losing lots of people, they're used to losing lots of equipment. I mean, the Second World War was a fine example of this for them. They just lost lots. And there seems to be no appetite within Russia for breaking the war. They seem to be backing Putin as strongly now as they've ever done. And Putin is putting all his energy and Russian resources into fighting the war. He may not have the ability to produce clever things but he will still produce lots of low level things that will make it extremely difficult for Ukraine because just the numbers make it difficult. This is the strength that Russia has," Grant said.

According to the colonel, the Ukrainian Defence Forces need a breakthrough at the front line.

"So if we don't break them over the winter, then there is a possibility that this could go on for another two or three years. And I'm quite serious about that. Russia has to be broken, and we're not breaking them at the moment. We're only holding them. Some move forward, but it's not a breakthrough. We need the breakthrough to be honest. Maybe that will come down by Kherson with a new operation crossing the river. But something different needs to be done because strategy is about capabilities and at the moment the capabilities that we have are not strong enough to make the strategy work. Even with ATACMS, even with F-16 because the main capability is a hundred fighting brigades and those fighting brigades are not equipped properly to win this war at the moment. So there needs to be more thinking," Grant stressed.

  • Over 100 combat engagements took place in the frontline over the last day. Ukrainian defenders repelled more than 20 enemy attacks in the Kupyansk sector and neutralised another 790 militants.
  • The spokesman for the 3rd Detached Assault Brigade, Oleksandr Borodin, noted that the weather conditions would slightly change the course of hostilities on the frontline.
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