American aid, consistency, and principle

These past seven months haven't led to truly catastrophic consequences yet, but we can't deny the negative impact they've had on the front line, the Defense Forces, morale in the rear, and the overall atmosphere surrounding the war.

However, I have to say, we're still very fortunate. In fact, I'd go even further and say that, overall, we've been quite lucky throughout this war, even when it may not seem that way.

We're fortunate in terms of the level of Russian corruption and Ukraine's awareness. Considering the basic resource ratio without factoring in Russian corruption and the severe underestimation of Ukraine, Russia should theoretically have overrun us, similar to how the USA did with Iraq.

We're fortunate that the USA and European countries recognized the full-scale invasion in its early stages, unlike past instances such as Georgia or the Tutsi genocide. Unlike the situation with Mohammad Reza Pahlavi in Iran, who was promised aid but left hanging during a crisis.

It's disheartening to see blind faith in the forces of good and principles in international politics. Take the example of the USA and Israel. While I don't idealize Israel, the US wasn't a great friend in its early years, when it was most vulnerable. Germany played a significant role in supporting Israel economically, and French weapons helped bolster its military strength.

Even the peace agreement with Egypt owes much to Egyptian President Sadat's determination, rather than consistent US support. The partnership, which symbolizes key ally status outside NATO, was solidified during Reagan's era but faced setbacks under subsequent administrations.

All this, despite Israel never having faced a nuclear-armed enemy.

Plenty of instances show the USA ending up on the questionable side. This doesn't fit the current paranoia of them playing both sides in the Russian-Ukrainian war, but the rhetoric about escalation can provoke such suspicions.

In the Iran-Iraq war, despite Iraq's initial aggression against Iran, the USA started backing Saddam with funds and weapons when Iran extended the conflict into Iraq. They also provided political cover for the Kurdish genocide, including the use of chemical weapons. Towards the war's end, the US targeted Iranian oil facilities and tankers, all to secure a peace favorable to Iraq. Saddam will thank them for it.

Mentioning Korea and Taiwan is relevant. After the war, Korea suffered extensive damage, approximately 80%. Initially, American aid during the first decade mainly consisted of limited food supplies and some credit for purchasing food.

Following Mao's defeat, the Republic of China expected American support and fulfilled its obligations in the UN. However, it received zero assistance in return, apart from a (temporary) guarantee against invasion from the mainland.

I won’t even delve into South Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq.

Why did I bring up all this? Let me restate four obvious points:

• International politics operates differently. Morality and principles matter less than the political situation and interests, especially short-term ones.
• Relying solely on constant support from partners is questionable. It's better to have ample weapons and a robust economy in an unstable environment, regardless of the contracts signed.
• We entered this war in a weak and impoverished state. Our current influence stems from the heroism of our Armed Forces, and our country's access to money and weapons is fortunate. However, we shouldn't feel completely in control.
• We're fortunate that the situation is evolving in a way that allows us to receive help. This help stems from China and the USA vying for Europe's loyalty, as well as Europe's own efforts to ensure its security.

Therefore, there are things to be happy about and reasons for optimism, despite the world's injustices sometimes making us want to rage.

Source

About the author. Yuriy Bohdanov, publicist, specialist in strategic communications in the field of business, public administration, and politics.

The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by the blog authors.