Espreso. Global
OPINION

Putin needs bigger war, as he has lost the war against Ukraine

23 October, 2022 Sunday
16:50

The Russian President wants to save himself in a larger grouping - through the official declaration of an axis of authoritarian countries, Mykhailo Basarab writes

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With each passing day of the Russia-Ukraine war, the probability of a full-fledged global conflict is increasing.

Step by step, Iran is being involved in our war.  It already sounds almost official. Everything is leading to the full participation of Belarus in hostilities. Anti-Polish and anti-Lithuanian hysteria is brewing in the same Belarus. There is some strange Russian activity in Norway. It would seem that they should not be up to it now.

In such a dynamic, every next day could lead to a bigger war.

Putin is going all-in. He needs a bigger war, because he has already lost the war against Ukraine. A bigger war gives him a chance.

Firstly, the bunker man expects that China will be forced to enter the war. That is why Moscow is expanding the context of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in order to drag all major global players into its maelstrom. Everyone will have to officially and directly take one side or the other.  Putin wants to save himself in a larger composition - in the official declaration of an axis of authoritarian countries.

"Putin is going all-in. He needs a bigger war, because he has already lost the war against Ukraine. A bigger war gives him a chance"

Secondly, Putin still believes that NATO will falter in a larger war, because not all members of the Alliance will be ready for direct participation. Against this background, other disagreements between NATO members may emerge. This is Putin's obvious hope.

These are my assumptions and explanations for the escalation and new large-scale adventures of the sullen Kremlin regime. I see no other explanation for such a scale in the conditions of an internal Russian catastrophe, which is approaching and seems inevitable.  Putin is forced to bluff. He needs a bigger game. He has already failed in this one.

There is also reason for optimism - Russia may not live to see Putin's hopes come true.

About the author: Mykhailo Basarab, political scientist.

The edition does not always share the opinions expressed by the authors of the blogs.

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