Espreso. Global

Ukrainian missiles for 750-1,000 km: how long does it take to start mass production?

13 October, 2023 Friday
16:50

Ukraine should have not just single samples of long-range missiles, but their mass production at a significant pace

client/title.list_title

Defense Express writes about it.

Ukraine has "worked out experimental samples" of missile weapons ranging from 750 to 1000 kilometers. And now we're talking about mass-producing these long-range weapons.

Mykhailo Podolyak, an advisor to the President's Office, said this on Channel 24, adding that it is planned to attract investment and foreign weapons manufacturers. The existence of work on a missile with a range of even more than 1,000 kilometers was also reported by former Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksii Reznikov.

Tu-141 Strizh

It could start with a Tu-141 Strizh reconnaissance drone converted into an ersatz cruise missile. It was already used in December last year, and successfully, against the Russian air bases Engels and Dyagilevo. The Russian Federation has officially recognized that three Tu-22M3s were hit at Dyagilevo as a result of the Stryzh strike.

The potentially converted Tu-141 Strizh can have a range of up to 1,000 km and carry, as Russia has also reported on the basis of drone wreckage, an OFAB-100-120 bomb, which is installed in it instead of reconnaissance equipment in the middle of the body.

"And despite the fact that we are talking about the conversion of existing UAVs, if you look closely at the Tu-141 Strizh, you can see a ready-made ground-launched cruise missile. This drone was designed for low-altitude flight at high speeds along a programmed route, and the only question is whether it should return with intelligence or crash into a target with a warhead," Defense Express wrote. 

Moreover, the production of the Tu-141 Strizh in Soviet times took place at the Kharkiv Aviation Plant. That is, all the design and production documentation for the original drone is available. Of course, this is well known in Moscow, because its production continued in Kharkiv until 1989.

That is, the resumption of production of the Tu-141 Strizh as a full-fledged cruise missile is more realistic than creating a completely new development.

"But despite the availability of documentation, there is a rather significant problem: Kharkiv Aviation Plant is the most problematic aviation enterprise in Ukraine, which has been methodically destroyed for three decades and driven to bankruptcy. As a result, even during the ATO, they tried to restore at least some production by producing tractors for armored vehicles."

5V28 from S-200

The second model may well be the 5V28 convertible anti-aircraft missile for the S-200 system. Its use has already been recorded, for example, in Taganrog. Although the Russian Federation estimated its range at 600 km, it is quite possible that this parameter is 150 km longer.

"Documentation for this missile may also be available in Ukraine because the components of the S-200 were also produced at the Bolshevik plant in Kyiv, which physically ceased to exist in the 2000s and legally in 2021, as well as at the Tochmash plant in Donetsk. The former produced the launcher, the latter the charger," the company writes. 

There are no details on the conversion of the 5B28 into a surface-to-surface missile, although it is a more than difficult job to convert an archaic liquid-fuel missile with a 220 kg warhead into a quasi-ballistic missile for ground strikes.

Mass production

It is critical to understand that just because you have the original paperwork for a 1970s product does not mean you can immediately rivet items to it. The first question that comes to mind is where to obtain a complete set of the 1970s model. Even on this basis, we are not talking about "one-to-one" reproductions of missiles, but rather advancements based on them.

There are huge gaps in time and money between having a concept, a prototype in metal, a prototype that has been tested, small-scale production, and full-scale mass production.

If Ukraine is now at the stage of prototypes that are ready for mass production, there are still two large-scale tasks ahead. In peacetime, starting small-scale production of weapons such as missiles takes several years. The transition to large-scale production will take another couple of years. And this is in the absence of global problems.

"Is it possible to speed it up - yes, but it really should be a strategic state project that can be accelerated by obtaining ready-made main components made to order at foreign sites. And this is what the government is obviously betting on," Defense Express emphasizes.

Tags:
Read also:
  • News
2024, Wednesday
12 June
21:55
Exclusive
Dangerous even after being shot down: expert on Russia's modified cruise missiles
21:40
Review
Victorious news of 840th day of war: intelligence confirms two Russian Su-57s hit, Ukraine may receive first F-16s this summer
21:23
Russia plans to "re-educate" 5,000 schoolkids in summer camps in occupied Luhansk region
20:58
Exclusive
Hate, manipulation, and “pain points”: media expert on how Russian propaganda works
20:27
Ukraine forces destroy rare Russian Zoopark radar
19:56
Exclusive
Peace Summit aims to make distant countries realize that war threatens them as well - diplomat
19:30
We enter period of potential nuclear destruction, and it's not Russia's fault: foreign fakes for June 12
19:02
Updated
Russian missile strike on Kryvyi Rih kills 8, injures 21
18:49
Exclusive
Russian troops forced to move their headquarters further away from frontline - Ukrainian major
18:27
Rheinmetall to start producing Lynx infantry fighting vehicles in Ukraine in 2024
18:06
Felix and Me, based on novel by military Artem Chekh, is available on Netflix
17:47
Russia's war makes strokes in Ukraine 10-15 years younger - Health Minister Liashko
17:28
Film featuring Mystetskyi Arsenal team, singer ONUKA wins Emmy Award
17:09
Ukrainian army destroys Russian S-300, S-400 radars in occupied Crimea
16:50
Russia's Central Bank's frozen assets to work in Ukraine's favor: EU and G7 prepare new decision
16:29
Russia may have broken through to Chasiv Yar suburb - British intelligence
16:04
Exclusive
ECtHR begins hearings in "Ukraine and Netherlands v. Russia" on human rights violations
15:46
Ukrainian forces deny Russian claim of capturing Miasozharivka village
15:26
Hurgary's Orban says he will not block NATO's decision on Ukraine
15:02
Exclusive
June 5-12 live war map: Donetsk front crisis and clearing sky over Crimea
14:26
Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief names frontline areas where Russia concentrates its main efforts
13:56
Exclusive
Bolstering Ukraine's air defense: how many air defense systems Ukraine can get
13:35
Two Indians recruited by Russia killed in war in Ukraine
13:17
Netherlands to deliver first F-16s to Ukraine this summer - Defense Minister Ollongren
12:59
Exclusive
Ukrainian army destroys 2 rare Russian Tyulpan mortars in eastern direction
12:39
Review
Germany's consistency in bolstering Ukraine's air defense, deja vu after Rheinmetall CEO's statement. Serhiy Zgurets' column
12:13
U.S. Biden approves second Patriot air defense system for Ukraine
11:35
ISW explains why Russia accuses Ukraine and NATO of terrorism
11:14
Ukraine finds Starlink alternative to target Crimea waters - Commander Sukharevskyi
10:58
Norway to allocate EUR 240 million for Ukraine's air defense
10:37
US announces new sanctions against "Russian war machine"
10:15
Man attacks Ukrainian woman with knife in Germany, 19-year-old Afghan man suspected
09:58
Russia attacks Ukraine with Shaheds and missiles at night, injuring civilians
09:38
Infographics
Russia loses 980 soldiers, 9 tanks and 46 artillery systems in one day of war in Ukraine
2024, Tuesday
11 June
22:15
Review
Victorious news of 839th day of war: Russian EW system destroyed, Germany, Italy supply air defense aid to Ukraine
21:57
Updated
Germany to supply third Patriot battery, 100 missiles to Ukraine
21:52
Russian air activity intensifies in Pokrovsk sector — Ukraine's General Staff
21:30
Ukrainian diplomats recruit mercenaries in Côte d'Ivoire - new Russian propaganda fake 
21:16
Estonia to supply Ukraine with Mistral SAMs and missiles
20:59
US allocates $824 million to support Ukraine's energy sector
More news