British Intelligence identifies factor behind Russia's effectiveness at front in winter

The Ministry of Defense of Great Britain revealed that as winter approaches, this factor will be pivotal for the Russian military.

Recently, Russia announced an uptick in the production of its laser-guided 152-mm artillery ammunition, Krasnopol-M2. They also expressed intentions to enhance projectile characteristics for adverse weather conditions.

British intelligence underscored Russian artillery successes with "Krasnopol," noting its precise targeting of Ukrainian Defense Forces' equipment. However, the report revealed a shortfall in conventional ammunition production by the Russian defense industry. The planned increase in "Krasnopol" production is seen as an effort to optimize production facilities.

Russia currently deploys drones to mark targets for "Krasnopol" by directing a laser beam. Yet, the performance is hindered by low cloud cover, impeding the projectile's laser detector from timely detection and maneuvering.

British intelligence predicts the Russian industry's attempts to enhance Krasnopol's flight characteristics and reduce laser detection time. As winter nears, improved access to high-precision munitions is anticipated to be a critical factor in Russia's operational effectiveness in Ukraine.

For reference, "Krasnopol" is a 152 or 155 mm corrected artillery ammunition designed for first-shot hits on armored targets. Its aerodynamic rudders adjust trajectory based on a laser mark on the target, and a jet engine or gas generator extends the range. Developed by the Tula Instrument Design Bureau, it is part of Russia's guided artillery weapons system.

• In September, reports suggested Russia's potential to double artillery production to around 2 million shells annually in the coming years, still falling short of Moscow's needs for the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.