Putin is ready to give Far East away to Beijing 

Beijing and Moscow are trying to hide the rapprochement between China and Russia. China has "chauvinistic ideas" about its "superiority" over the world and getting closer to its Russian goals. Beijing is not capable of seizing Taiwan by force, but soon the Chinese prize for "friendship" with Moscow may be the Far Eastern Russian territories. Xi Jinping knows that Putin is ready to give up land, not to suffer a final defeat in the Russian-Ukrainian war and stay in power.

Russia is very vulnerable in the Far East and Siberia. But historically, Moscow has always feared an invasion from the West. A logical step for China would be to "bite off" large chunks of Russia to increase its territorial space and resources. It can only suit some of the United States or the entire collective West. The People's Republic of China would receive critical natural resources that would bring it very close to the implementation of global world dominance.

"The Chinese prize for "friendship" with Moscow may be the Far Eastern Russian territories. Xi Jinping knows that Putin is ready to give up land, not to suffer a final defeat in the Russian-Ukrainian war and stay in power".

Putin was so engrossed in destroying Ukraine and the Ukrainians that he sent most of his troops on the Russian-Chinese border to war in Ukraine. They are turning a blind eye to the fact that only 33 million Russians live in the territory from the Ural to the Pacific Ocean. At a time when 100 million Chinese live beyond the Siberian border.

There are three good reasons why America and Europe are still holding back from supplying Ukraine with long-range missiles, tanks and modern aircraft. These are the Russian nuclear strike threat on Ukraine, the danger of the rapid collapse of Russia (when nuclear weapons will be immediately in 20 new territorial entities), and the high probability of seizing by China the Russian trans-Ural territories after Moscow's defeat. 

Undecided on resolving these significant issues, the West is slowing down the military supplies necessary for Ukraine, which could radically change the Russian-Ukrainian war course.

It is well known that some Chinese experts are already openly calculating how much time remains before China seizes Khabarovsk and Vladivostok and returns what was once part of Chinese Manchuria. The Chinese haven't had any sentiments for those weaker than them, especially given Russia's demographic and geostrategic realities.

"Chinese experts are already openly calculating how much time remains before China seizes Khabarovsk and Vladivostok and returns what was once part of Chinese Manchuria".

Putin made a colossal mistake when he decided to invade Ukraine without detailed calculations of what might happen after that. Now, under any scenario, this war will have negative consequences for him. Beijing is patiently waiting, hoping that gas and oil in its "new territories" will not escape from it. If China is firmly established in the Russian Far East, it will be challenging to oust it from there. The best solution is to prevent such a scenario after the collapse of Russia.

In his recent conversations with Xi Jinping and other Shanghai Cooperation Organisation leaders, Putin has lost his arrogance and self-confidence. Hunched and confused, he shows he has been defeated, although he is not ready to admit it publicly. He has no one to rely on. Handing over the country's rule, it was worth remembering that China is the Kremlin's most unreliable ally, and depending on its protection and assistance is useless. China will "help," but precisely the opposite.

"Putin's grandeur delusions and invasion of Ukraine have destroyed the fragile power balance in the Far East. It is only a matter of time before the Chinese dragon crushes Russia in its "friendly" embrace. And this dragon is getting stronger every year"

Putin's grandeur delusions and invasion of Ukraine have destroyed the fragile power balance in the Far East. It is only a matter of time before the Chinese dragon crushes Russia in its "friendly" embrace. And this dragon is getting stronger every year. It seeks to control not only Russia but also the states of Africa, Iran, Pakistan and North Korea have entered into vassal relations with it.

And after China's economic and demographic penetration into Russia's far eastern regions and Ukraine's heroic struggle with Russian occupation in the West, Putin's Russia has acquired a one-way ticket to nowhere.

Here the Kremlin should remember that the Chinese never forgive anyone anything. But they may not voice it. The communist regime increasingly displays maps showing territories transferred to Russia in 1859 and 1860 as Chinese, including the Kamchatka Peninsula and Vladivostok. For Xi Jinping, Russia has become a semblance of a large fish caught on a hook, which can be fried. But he's in no hurry. Beijing is well aware that Putin and his regime are weakening every day. It is increasingly difficult for the Russian dictator to exercise control over power. The systemic dysfunction of public administration of a vast economy becomes less manageable.

"The Chinese create the illusion for Putin that only they can save his country from completely falling into the abyss of geopolitical loss in Ukraine"

So, the Chinese created the illusion for Putin that only they could save his country from completely falling into the abyss of geopolitical loss in Ukraine. China has organized the supply of specific essential components to Russia directly and through its authorized representative, North Korea. The dictator thinks that his back is covered but in vain.

The Chinese have territorial claims to Vladivostok and corporate interests in the Russian Far East. You can imagine the following situation: Putin continues to implement his delusional idea of occupying Ukraine, and in the end, he finally loses. Territories will begin to get out of Moscow's control and declare themselves independent states.

"Such a scenario of Russia's collapse is not in the interests of America and Europe. To avoid this, the West and its allies in the Far East and Southeast Asia should consider dividing the former Russian territories into zones of personal responsibility."

After that, Beijing declared they were forced to urgently send their troops to these disputed territories to avoid chaos and anarchy. Such a scenario of Russia's collapse is not in the interests of America and Europe. To avoid this, the West and its allies in the Far East and Southeast Asia should consider dividing the former Russian territories into zones of personal responsibility. Certain regions of Russia will be assigned for stabilization in each country or group of neighboring countries.

For example, the area of responsibility of Japan, South Korea and the United States may well be the Far East and part of Siberia. Vladivostok can become the territorial center of the Far Eastern Republic and Novosibirsk - the Siberian republic. A secure and stable independent Far East and Siberia are in the entire civilized world's interests. It's worth considering how to send the peacekeeping forces of the West and its allies before the Chinese army invades there. 

The mechanism of such security could be as follows. The Far Eastern and Siberian Republics declared their independence, recognized by most world countries. And they immediately apply for membership in the UN. They officially requested Western countries to temporarily introduce a peacekeeping contingent to stabilize the situation and protect the newly formed independent states. Thus, it is possible to avoid the Chinese seizure of former Russian territories while maintaining their territorial division.

All this can be realized if the Russian ruling elites fail, in one way or another, to remove Putin from power, and Russia, in its integral form, ends its existence. The dictator set Russia back at least a few decades, and next generations of Russians will be forced to atone for the sins of non-interference in the big politics of their predecessors.

"In no case should the Far Eastern and Siberian regions be allowed to be under Chinese control because it will be challenging to get out of this. China wants to use parts of Russia to expand its "living space" and seize other people's natural resources"

Even now, we need to consider that the first expenses of Russia (or its legal successors) after the fall of the Putin regime will be financial payments to Ukraine for all the damage caused during the war.

In no case should the Far Eastern and Siberian regions be allowed to be under Chinese control because it will be challenging to get out of this. China wants to use parts of Russia to expand its “living space” and seize other people's natural assets. Beijing seeks to receive dividends from a war in which they did not participate. But Beijing has played a long game and believes it has every right to receive its "well-deserved prizes" from it.

Although it is difficult to say how the fragments of this geopolitical puzzle will change, the creation of the Far Eastern and the Siberian republics is not only relevant. It is an issue that will become urgent after the likely collapse of Russia. And for us, this issue is also important because it was immigrants from Ukraine who developed these lands in ancient times. And we should never forget that. 

About the author. Viktor Kaspruk, journalist

The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by blog authors.