Budanov assesses threat of attack from Belarus on Volyn, repeated attack on Kyiv

Kyrylo Budanov said this in an interview with one of the Ukrainian media.

“I want to remind you that the story of the attack of Belarusians on Ukraine has been appearing in our media since April. About once every month and a half, they declare that these terrible legions of Belarusians will attack tomorrow. But the reality is a little different, and many times I debunked these myths. Is there a potential threat from Belarus? Potentially there is. This is also not a secret for anyone,” Budanov said. 

He added that the Russian forces are now transferring a certain number of units to Belarus, but it is not so large.

“Currently, there are no signs of the creation of any format of strike groups. As of now, the Russians have brought about 3,200 people there. You can say what you want. But they are without heavy equipment. On the contrary, Belarus sends all its equipment from long-term storage bases to Russia,” Budanov explained.

He also noted that there is currently no threat of a second attack on Kyiv, but theoretically it remains.

“As of now, there is no such thing. Is it theoretically possible to do this? It is possible. It will take about two or two and a half weeks to transfer the troops. This is not possible,” Budanov stated.

• On October 21, UK intelligence said that the probability of an attack on Ukraine from Belarus is minimal.

• The American Institute for the Study of War assessed the risk of an attack from Belarus as low.