Ukraine’s diplomatic gambit: testing U.S. commitment in Saudi talks

The author of the Resurgam Telegram channel and international relations expert discussed the issue.

As Ukraine prepares for critical negotiations in Saudi Arabia, its diplomatic strategy is taking shape. The objective is clear: position the country’s interests in a way that not only aligns with U.S. priorities but also pressures Washington to reveal where it truly stands on the war.

"A fundamental challenge is selling an idea that doesn’t yet exist—genuine interest in a ceasefire," the author notes. Ukraine isn’t opposed to peace but rejects terms dictated by Moscow and the U.S. that could undermine national sovereignty. Instead, Kyiv aims to shift the narrative: if Washington wants de-escalation, why not start with the most immediate threat to civilians—airstrikes? A no-fly agreement and maritime security measures would protect critical infrastructure while forcing Russia to show its hand. If Moscow resists, it exposes its unwillingness to negotiate in good faith. If it concedes, Ukraine gains breathing room.

For the U.S., agreeing to this approach would still be a diplomatic win. But if the Trump’s administration refuses, it could signal that Washington’s real interest isn’t de-escalation itself, but rather a settlement on Moscow’s terms. Such a stance wouldn’t go unnoticed in Europe, where allies are already questioning American priorities.

Meanwhile, Ukraine continues to demonstrate its capability, striking Russian oil facilities and reminding adversaries that its military options remain very much on the table. The country is also pressing for military aid and intelligence support, which the U.S. has been slow-walking under shifting pretexts—first rare-earth agreements, now the Saudi talks.

As negotiations unfold, Ukraine’s position is clear: leverage the conversation toward maritime and airspace security, expose Moscow’s real stance, and force Washington to define its role. The success of this strategy will depend not just on diplomatic skill but also on the political will of those at the table, the author concludes.

• President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine seeks peace and proposed initial steps to end the war with Russia.
• Zelenskyy confirmed his visit to Saudi Arabia and talks between Ukrainian and U.S. delegations.
• Foreign Ministry spokesperson Heorhii Tykhyi announced that in Saudi Arabia, the Ukrainian and American delegations will discuss bilateral relations, strategic partnership, and the path to peace.
• Meanwhile, the U.S. plans to use the meeting with the Ukrainian delegation to assess whether Ukraine is willing to make material concessions to Russia in exchange for ending the war.