Halting U.S. aid could weaken Ukraine’s air defenses, heighten risk of heavy air attacks – military expert

Serhiy Zgurets, military expert and CEO of the media and consulting company Defense Express, shared his opinions with Espreso TV.

"Ukraine possesses certain weapon stockpiles, but there have been times in the past when U.S. supplies were halted for six months, significantly affecting the battlefield. Currently, the primary concern is the weakening of missile defense, which heightens the risks for Ukrainian towns and cities — an opportunity Russia is likely to exploit," he stated.

If U.S. military aid is completely cut off, it will affect around $30 billion allocated for weapons supplies until 2027, Zgurets noted.

"Additionally, it applies to storage facilities in Poland and other bases, air defense missiles, artillery shells, ammunition for HIMARS, anti-tank weapons, and small arms — everything critically needed on the front — that are ready for shipment," he added.

Despite this, Ukraine is already adapting. The ammunition shortage is partially offset by adjustments in combat strategy. Currently, about 60% of enemy targets are being destroyed using Ukrainian-made drones, reducing dependence on U.S. supplies.

Another potential restriction could be access to Starlink satellite communications.

"Ukraine uses about 100,000 terminals, some delivered through commercial channels. If the U.S. decides to limit their use, it could complicate troop command and control. However, the Ukrainian side is already taking measures to minimize risks," Zgurets explained.

According to him, Trump is using the aid suspension as a political pressure tool, trying to influence Ukrainian leadership. He is demanding concessions he deems necessary, including an apology from Zelenskyy and the signing of an agreement. Meanwhile, he is not applying any pressure on Russia, which appears highly strange. Trump's policy now seems to favor Russia. The hope is that European partners will step up their support for Ukraine.

• On February 28, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy arrived in Washington for a working visit. During a press conference, a dispute broke out between Trump, Zelenskyy, and U.S. Vice President JD Vance.
• Later, it was reported that the joint press conference between Presidents Zelenskyy and Trump was canceled due to the argument.
• Following the White House confrontation, European leaders and U.S. politicians began voicing support for Zelenskyy and Ukraine.
• The White House Press Secretary announced the U.S. administration’s intention to halt military financial aid to Ukraine.
• On March 4, media reports said that Trump had ordered the suspension of all military assistance to Ukraine.